A bank run at a small local institution in the southwestern Chinese city of Zigong could be a sign of an impending financial crisis.
Shareholders of Bank of Zigong in Sichuan Province absconded with 40 billion yuan ($5.78 billion), through loans issued to shell companies that they had created, according to a Nov. 2 post in a Chinese social-media account, and a report by Da Zhong, a state-run news website. The loans were long overdue, resulting in huge losses for the bank.
The news spread quickly, even though the post was deleted within 20 minutes by internet censors. Scores of bank customers rushed to dozens of bank branches in Zigong City to retrieve their deposits, while long lines of people could be seen from photos of the scene and uploaded by netizens.
Soon after, the Zigong City branch of the national bank regulator, China Banking Regulatory Commission, sent out an emergency notice seeking to calm customers. The notice indicated that the Bank of Zigong, which was founded in 2001 and has 32 branches in the city of 1.2 million people, is running normally and has sufficient cash flow for reserve funds.
Local police also announced the arrest of the person who spread the “online rumors.” But that didn’t stop customers from rushing to the bank. Though the rumors were unconfirmed, the resulting bank run by panicked customers could spell serious trouble. As more customers try to withdraw funds, Bank of Zigong may eventually default.
Sign of a Crisis?
That would have broader repercussions for the Chinese economy, as the Bank of Zigong exemplifies a common situation in many regions across China.
Like many economic hubs in China, municipal authorities in Zigong have borrowed large sums from the Bank of Zigong to finance local infrastructure projects. The bank explicitly explains on its website that the institution supports initiatives by the city’s Communist Party committee and government authorities such as building projects, city redevelopment, state-owned enterprises reform, and more.
Zigong City, as with many other municipal governments, has set up local investment firms as a popular option to borrow money. But that has led to enormous debt that governments couldn’t repay. The Chinese regime recently published rules that allow these investment firms to file for bankruptcy if they don’t have the funds to repay their debts—highlighting the severity of the situation.
Economists predict that when the city investment firms go bankrupt, the domino effect on banks that loaned money to them, as well as the private individuals and companies that invested in them, would be detrimental.
“When city investment firms have no way to repay their debts, the Bank of Zigong will be in a crisis,” said Zhao Pei, a current affairs commentator at NTD Television, part of the Epoch Media Group.
“If there is a bank run at the Bank of Zigong, this means a financial crisis in China will begin from these local small banks,” said Twitter user Cao Ji, a former professor in Shanghai, who now does academic research in Taiwan.
Shareholders’ Woes
There are also clues that what was said in the initial social-media post that sparked panic may be true.
The post listed three companies as the bank’s majority shareholders: a real estate company; a conglomerate with portfolios in residential development, commercial real estate, and manufacturing equipment; and China Western Power, a firm that manufactures and distributes boilers.
China Finance Information, a financial data portal, released a public announcement stating that after China Western Power invested in Bank of Zigong, it became the bank’s largest shareholder, with a 20 percent stake.
China Western Power is currently in financial distress, according to an Oct. 8 report by the Changjiang Times newspaper that says the company faces high levels of debt. As of the end of June, the company’s debt-to-asset ratio reached 77.52 percent, an increase of 10 percent from the end of 2015. The company needs to repay 1.01 billion yuan (about $146 million) in loans by year’s end, according to the report.
The company’s shares have continually fallen since May, and such financial straits would match the claims in the initial social-media post.
