What Will Happen to Trump’s Tax Cuts in 2026?

What Will Happen to Trump’s Tax Cuts in 2026?
President Donald Trump signs executive orders in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington on Jan. 20, 2025. Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images
Javier Simon
Updated:
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In 2017, President Donald Trump launched a sweeping bulk of legislation known as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). It raised the standard deduction to historical levels, increased the maximum child tax credit, and provided an abundance in gift and estate-planning benefits. But many key provisions in the TCJA are set to expire on Dec. 31, 2025, if Congress doesn’t make a move to keep the plan as is.
Still, Trump has said he intends to make many of these provisions permanent in addition to unveiling new tax cuts. So it’s important to understand how the tax law works today as you file your 2024 tax return.

The Standard Deduction

The standard deduction can help individuals and couples pay less in taxes or receive larger refunds. This is because the standard deduction lowers your taxable income. Essentially, the larger the standard deduction, the more taxpayers stand to benefit.
The TJCA raised the standard deduction. This is how the standard deduction works for 2024 and 2025.

For tax year 2024, the standard deduction is $14,600 for single filers and $29,200 for those filing jointly.

Those who are single filers and are blind or over age 65 can take an additional $1,950. And for those who are married filing jointly or separately and blind or 65 or older, the additional standard deduction is $1,550 per person who falls into one category.

For tax year 2025, the standard deduction for single filers will be $15,000. For married couples filing jointly, it will be $30,000.
But if the TCJA expires, the standard deduction will shift back to pre-TCJA levels. This basically means it would shrink to $8,350 for single filers and $16,700 for joint filers, according to the Tax Foundation.

Child Tax Credit

The TCJA increased the maximum child tax credit to $2,000 and extended the phase-out range. Plus, it allows for a nonrefundable $500 credit per other dependants.

But should the TCJA expire, the child tax credit maximum would revert to $1,000.

So how exactly does the child tax credit work? First, it’s important to know what tax credits are. A tax credit is a dollar-for-dollar amount taxpayers could claim on their tax return to reduce the income tax they owe. The child tax credit was designed to help lower-income families with qualifying children claim a tax break.

You can claim a child tax credit of up to $2,000 for each child under the age of 17. However, the credit is reduced by 5 percent of adjusted gross income (AGI) over $200,000 for single parents or $400,000 for married couples filing jointly.
If the tax credit exceeds the taxes you owe, you can get up to $1,600 of the difference as a refund. This is known as the Additional Child Tax Credit (ACTC) or refundable child tax credit.
Taxpayers can also claim a nonrefundable tax credit of up to $500 for other dependants. These include full-time college students aged 19–24. But because it is nonrefundable, you won’t get it in the form of a refund if it reduces taxes owed to the negative.

Tax Brackets

A major component of the TCJA was the lowering of five of the seven tax bracket rates and the adjusting of the widths of the tax brackets. Here’s a look at how these rates could change, according to the Tax Foundation.
BracketTCJA ratesExpired TCJA rates
110 percent10 percent
212 percent15 percent
322 percent25 percent
424 percent28 percent
532 percent33 percent
635 percent35 percent
737 percent39.6 percent
The thresholds for these rates would also be different if the TCJA expires. Here’s a closer look.
RatesSingle filer Threshold under TCJASingle filer Threshold if TCJA expires
First rate$0$0
Second rate starts at$12,250$12,200
Third rate starts at$49,750$49,600
Fourth rate starts at$106,100$120,100
Fifth rate starts at$202,550$250,450
Sixth rate starts at$257,200$544,550
Seventh rate starts at$642,950$546,750
Overall, some fillers will end up paying more in taxes due to shifts caused by the expiration of the TCJA. The Tax Foundation estimates that if the TCJA expires, 62 percent of filers would experience tax increases.
But with the help of a Republican-led Congress, Trump could theoretically make many key provisions permanent.

The Bottom Line

The TCJA opened the door to major tax cuts for many Americans. But some key provisions are set to expire and not carry over into 2026. But the president has said he plans to make these provisions permanent. Still, that would depend on Congress’s actions.

You have until April 15 to file your 2024 taxes.

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Javier Simon
Javier Simon
Author
Javier Simon is a freelance personal finance writer for The Epoch Times. He specializes in retirement planning, investing, taxes, fintech, financial products and more. His work has been featured by major publications including Fox Business, The Motley Fool, NerdWallet, and Money Magazine.