The financial sector shined in 2024, and many analysts believe it will continue to rocket through 2025. The financial services sector could continue to benefit from a strong economy as well as a deregulatory agenda under the Trump administration.
And so far, so good. Despite the Federal Reserve’s January decision to pause interest rate cuts, the financial sector continues to outperform the broader market. Year to date, the S&P 500 financials index returned 7.62 percent. The S&P 500 returned 3.24 percent.
What’s the Financial Sector?
The financial sector includes banks, brokerages, asset managers, payment processors, insurance companies, credit card unions, and more. These companies run money and essentially are partly responsible for keeping the economy going.Virtually every person and business is in one way involved. If you’ve used a credit card, transferred money via an app, or visited an ATM, you’ve engaged in the financial sector.
Bank Stocks
The United States houses more than 4,500 banks, according to research by MX Technologies.- Wells Fargo & Co.
- M&T Bank Corp.
- JPMorgan Chase & Co.
- Citizens Financial Group Inc.
- Bank of America Corp.
- HSBC Holdings PLC
- PNC Financial Services Group Inc.
- Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
- Visa Inc.
- Mastercard Inc.
- Morgan Stanley
- The Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Financial Services ETFs
You can bypass analyzing and picking multiple stocks on your own by investing in exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These are professionally managed funds that invest in a variety of stocks. Here are the top financial services sector ETFs:- The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund
- Vanguard Financials Index Fund ETF
- PIMCO Enhanced Short Maturity Active Exchange-Traded Fund
- SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF
- iShares U.S. Financials ETF
Risks of Investing in Bank Stocks
Although bank stocks can be stable, nothing comes without risk. And banks as well as other financial institutions and fintech companies share some specific challenges.Financial institutions such as banks are cyclical. This means they are extremely sensitive to economic downturns such as recessions.
When massive amounts of people lose their jobs, they tend to fall back on their debts as they prioritize necessities. This could result in losses from loans, credit cards, and other lending products offered by financial institutions. Moreover, consumers may cut back on spending during economic downturns. This means they may lock up their credit cards, avoid taking on new debt such as mortgages, and spend less. These could have a negative impact on financial institutions.
Another major risk to the financial sector is interest rate volatility. But here, it can get very complex. A low interest rate environment can cause consumers to flock to products like savings accounts and personal loans, but the banks may not profit as much because of the low rates. When rates are high, consumers and businesses may back away from products like loans and mortgages—major revenue sources for many financial services companies.
Ultimately, however, it comes down to how well-equipped a particular financial institution is to weather the storm. JP Morgan Chase, for example, ran its own stress test during the COVID-19 pandemic and determined it would survive with a 35 percent drop in gross domestic product (GDP) and 14 percent unemployment.