If one is to draw comparisons between the territorial ambitions of Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, it would seem that an invasion of Taiwan is imminent.
As Putin’s war against Ukraine drags on, China is leveling up on its decision on Taiwan, going as far as to mention the “Taiwan question” in the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) recently released annual government report.
What is the Taiwan question? It is a question of whether or not Taiwan is a sovereign country in China’s eyes, or merely a province.
At the moment, the CCP views Taiwan (officially known as the Republic of China) as a rogue territory that will eventually be unified with the People’s Republic of China, which is the official name for mainland China under communist rule. However, Taiwan considers itself as an independent nation and separate from the mainland.
There is a significant backstory here. In 1949, Taiwan’s leadership (the Kuomintang) retreated to Taiwan, losing mainland China to the CCP. Over the past seven decades, Taiwan has achieved unsurpassed economic growth and, in turn, has become a global market leader in many of the world’s most important industries.
Mainland China’s GDP is much larger than that of Taiwan, but, as mentioned, Taiwan has some of the most sophisticated technology companies and component foundries in the world.
The recent events in Ukraine have ushered in a new urgency for smaller nations—especially those near larger belligerent countries—to be self-reliant. If the issues in Hong Kong serve as a barometer, Taiwan is facing a significant threat of invasion from the CCP.
In January, Taiwan’s parliament passed an additional $8 billion for defense and security funding to thwart security threats from China, but that is still likely not enough to stop an invasion from the CCP.
China, much like Russia, has not faced any repercussions for its actions over the past few decades, actions that have included buying political and economic influence in America and in Western economies. For the most part, the CCP has been allowed to run free with their communist and authoritarian agenda. This has empowered the CCP and increased its confidence that the United States will not react to an invasion.
Washington needs to end its China-Taiwan diplomatic ambiguity and to recognize Taiwan as a sovereign country before a full-scale invasion is launched by the CCP. It is time the United States pressured Beijing on the Taiwan question and to allow the self-ruled island to remain a democratic country with a free market economy.