Boomers who are “aging in place” will no doubt lower housing inventory for the immediate future. However, the baby boomer generation is shrinking at an accelerating pace. Baby boomers are a huge group that has had an unprecedented impact on society. The passing of the baby boomer generation will likely also have outsize implications for the economy and the housing market.
What does this mean as time goes by? What will the implications be as homes owned by baby boomers—often older, larger, less-efficient, and maintenance-hungry—go on the housing market? Will it help the inventory shortage? Or will it have the opposite effect, decreasing home values given that smaller, younger families want smaller, newer, more efficient homes?
Housing Demand-Supply Balance
Over the next decade, millions of homes could hit the market thanks to aging baby boomers. The AARP reports that 80 percent of people aged 50 or older own a home. As those homeowners start to downsize, pass away, or cash-in on their equity, it releases more homes on the market.Empty-nester boomers are finding that a mostly empty giant home can be expensive to maintain, heat, and cool.
Changing Neighborhoods
Boomer homes have some drawbacks that can keep them from selling quickly.One drawback is the predominant geographic location of these homes. Homes owned by the boomer generation are frequently located in less-expensive markets that aren’t preferred destinations for younger families and workers.
Cities such as Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Buffalo—areas known for industrial employers including U.S. Steel, IBM, and Kodak—feature a high share of boomer homes, but those areas aren’t where the jobs are today, for the most part.
Job centers such as San Jose, Austin, and Denver have a smaller share of empty-nest households, but are in higher demand location-wise.
Pros and Cons of Older Homes
There are pluses and minuses when it comes to the typical boomer house itself, aside from its location.These are frequently older homes and may have outdated designs, appliances, and fixtures that don’t align with modern tastes.
The older the home, the higher the cost of maintenance. That can be a deterrent for potential buyers as these types of costs, along with home insurance, have been increasing rapidly.
Older homes are generally less energy-efficient, leading to higher utility costs. Energy costs are becoming a huge burden for homeowners, providing an incentive for smaller and far more efficient living spaces.
On the other hand, there are things that work in favor of these older homes. They often feature unique architectural details and character that new builds lack. Building materials back then are too expensive to use today. The solid wood doors of the past have given way to today’s cheaper hollow-core doors.
Older homes may also be located in charming, reminiscent locations that are desirable for younger home buyers.
How Can You Benefit From This Trend?
As boomers leave their homes, the collapsing boomer bulge may shift the housing market in favor of buyers. Heirs often want to sell inherited homes as quickly and painlessly as possible.For families with several children, boomer homes can be a wonderful opportunity. Many boomers lived in established neighborhoods with good schools and amenities. That makes them attractive to younger families.
Finally, for those looking to diversify by investing in the real estate sector, boomer homes can be a great investment, either to live in or rent out, potentially building equity and financial stability.