A prominent Chinese financing platform, Zhongrong International Trust Co. (Zhongrong Trust), has reportedly delayed payouts of some of its wealth products since late last month, sparking panic among investors. Some experts believe this is the beginning of a domino-like collapse within the Chinese financial and investment sectors that are symptoms of broader economic woes.
Hundreds of questions from panicked investors have been flooding the communication platform of the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, inquiring whether they had bought Zhongrong Trust’s products.
The issue affects not just individuals as companies have invested in Zhongrong Trust’s financing products—including leading property developers, such as Everygrande Group, Kaisa Group, Yango Group, Sunac China Holdings, and China Fortune Land. They are expected to suffer huge losses.
Likewise, Zhongrong Trust’s major shareholder, Zhongzhi Enterprises Group (Zhongzhi Group), is facing a potential bankruptcy crisis.
Zhongzhi Group is China’s largest wealth management giant, with a total asset size that once exceeded 1 trillion yuan ($140 billion). It has four associated companies: Hang Tang Wealth, Xinhu Wealth, Da Tang Wealth, and Gao Sheng Wealth, and dozens of private equity funds, forming a vast pool of capital.
Listed Companies
Many of the Zhongrong Trust products held by Chinese listed companies are concentrated to mature in August and September. The market expects that the next few months will be the peak period for listed companies to disclose their payment status with Zhongrong Trust.In August, three firms listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange disclosed that they didn’t receive payment on maturing investment products from Zhongrong Trust.
Real Estate Sector
Zhongrong Trust’s annual report showed that as of the end of 2022, the company has assets under trusteeship and management exceeding 629 billion yuan (about $87 billion). Among them, over 67 billion yuan (about $9.29 billion), or approximately 11 percent of trust assets, are invested in real estate.Therefore, financing trust companies are unable to meet their commitments after suffering the loss from the sluggish real estate sector, said Financial Cold Eyes.
Bank financial products linked to municipal bonds or local government bonds are also a risk for a trust company failing to make payments on time, it added.
Lu Yuanxing, a U.S.-based political and economic analyst who once worked as a marketing executive for a Chinese company, said in an interview with the Chinese Language of The Epoch Times on Aug. 14 that the Zero-COVID restrictions and city lockdowns almost ruined China’s real estate market.
Domino-like Collapse
Given that Zhongrong Trust has a pivotal position in the trust investment industry with considerable influence, problems with this type of company mainly manifest in two ways, “First, it would form a chain reaction, like a domino-like effect,” Mr. Lu said.He explained that many large companies, including listed companies, have purchased investment products from Zhongrong Trust, saying, “In the event of a payment default, these companies will also suffer investment losses, thus promoting a chain reaction of [other relevant stakeholders].”
A wider knock-on effect would develop as investors lose confidence in the trust financing market. “Investors have started to doubt whether there are still reliable and trustworthy products worth buying and investing in,” Mr. Lu said.
China has very few investment channels, and Chinese spending power has been quite low during the epidemic period, so “if investors stop investing, it will not be favorable to China’s economic recovery.”
“In other words, if investment confidence wanes, a vicious circle will be formed, and the whole economy will shrink further,” said Mr. Lu.