The federal government is being sued by a coalition of states seeking to block a change in the calculation of flood insurance rates, which they say will make such insurance expensive for citizens.
“Throughout Louisiana and many other states, homeowners and small businesses are struggling to afford flood insurance. The rising costs are directly attributable to federal government bureaucrats taking something that has worked for decades, shrouding it in mystery, and then making it worse,” said Landry.
Ninety percent of Louisiana insurance ratepayers subject to an increase in flood premiums may see their costs rise by 18 percent per annum for the next decade. In practice, this could mean that a policy that cost $572 per year in 2021 may eventually cost $8,000 annually under Risk Rating 2.0, the lawsuit argues.
The higher insurance costs could result in fewer policies, less coverage, and greater risk exposure for Louisiana and its citizens, it says.
Old Versus New System
According to the lawsuit, the public had access to flood frequency data in their region in the previous insurance policy system. This made premiums consistent and predictable.But in Risk Rating 2.0, the public has no way of determining how flood frequency relates to their premium. This is because the new system “relies on hypothetical events” while “secrecy dictates calculations.”
The old system provided discounts to homeowners who took flood mitigation efforts like elevating homes, improving drainage systems, and building levees. The new system does not take into account any mitigation efforts while calculating premiums.
Per the lawsuit, an estimated 15 million people lived in Special Flood Hazard Areas across the United States in 2015. Combined with other areas exposed to flood risks, an estimated 41 million people could end up getting affected by Risk Rating 2.0.
Flood Risks to Mortgage Market
The FEMA lawsuit comes as concerns about flood risks to the mortgage market are popping up. Speaking to CNBC on May 28, Dave Burt, CEO of investment research firm DeltaTerra Capital, warned that the mortgage market is disregarding the risks of flooding, which could end up catalyzing a housing market crash.Homes destroyed by floods tend to depreciate dramatically, which exposes the mortgage borrower to the risk of default. DeltaTerra’s studies suggest that 20 percent of homes in the United States have significant exposure to a pricing discrepancy due to flood risks.
The discrepancy could trigger an up to $200 billion devaluation in the housing market from its 2022 valuations. In case lenders fail to acknowledge the potential risks involved in flooding, a price adjustment similar to what happened during the 2008 housing crisis could materialize soon, he warned.
“Ultimately, until people have good information about what these climate-related costs are going to look like, we’re creating new problems every day. I think that’s really the crux of the matter.”