The attack left 1,300 dead, thousands wounded, and yielded some 150 hostages of all ages for Hamas.
“Hassan Nasrallah,” the NY Times reported, “the leader of Hezbollah, held an hourslong online meeting in March with an elite group of strategists from all the Iran-backed militias and told them to get ready for a war with Israel with a scope and reach—including a ground invasion—that would mark a new era.”
We don’t yet know whether that new era is nigh.
Hamas has continued to lob missiles at Israel.
For its part, Israel has, as of this writing, yet to mount a full-scale retaliatory attack against Hamas.
Why? Partly because Hamas wants to use them as human shields.
“Jihad is its path and death for the sake of Allah is the loftiest of its wishes.”
It seems clear that Israel is doing what it can to minimize civilian casualties.
In the last several days, Hezbollah has also fired missiles at Israel.
Israel has begun operations against Hezbollah military assets but, as with Hamas in the South, has yet to mount a full-scale invasion.
What will happen?
No one knows.
The world is holding its breath.
The burgeoning conflict has pushed the war in Ukraine off the front pages.
We don’t know what will happen, but there’s a growing sense that an existential moment has been reached.
Israel has been attacked from the moment of its birth, in 1948.
There was war in 1967, and 1973, always started by Israel’s Arab enemies.
There were the Oslo Accords and the removal of Israeli settlements from the Gaza Strip in 2005.
In every case, Israel made concessions, courted peace, and strove for political comity with its neighbors.
The one constant has been the Arab denial of Israel’s right to exist.
“Israel will exist and will continue to exist until Islam will obliterate it.”
Similar statements have been emanating from Iran since the Shia fanatic Ayatollah Khomeini swept into Iran and ousted the Shah in 1979.
Possibly, this latest spate of attacks against Israel will unfold as previous ones have.
I get the sense, though, that Israel’s leaders have begun to take their enemy at his word.
We’ll probably know within weeks.