I should note one positive difference between the latest Queen’s Park budget and the typical sort you get from Ottawa. The actual table of expenditure and revenue appears early in the Ontario document, on page 6, whereas the feds bury it hundreds of pages deep. But what is not different is the trajectory of spending, from $183 billion actually spent in 2021-22 to $217.5 billion projected just four years later in 2025-26. So an 18 percent increase. Restraint? We don’t need no stinking restraint.
Especially not on health care, which is meant to rise from $69.9 to $87.6, or 25 percent. Sustainability? We don’t need no stinking sustainability. We just need to get re-elected so we can get re-elected. (As for interest payments rising from $12.6 billion to $15.1 billion, hey, what could go wrong?)
Another thing I find obnoxious about the Ontario budget is that it chirpily revises last year’s forecasts dramatically, including from a $19.2 billion deficit for 2022-23 to a mere $2.2 billion. Of course, it’s good that government isn’t plunging recklessly even further into debt given that Ontario is the most indebted subnational jurisdiction in the world (no chant of “We’re #1” ensues), although the projection of a surplus in 2024-25 has the usual “Free beer tomorrow” feel. But given that budgets deluge us with data about probable growth to convince us their creators are not just hucksters, the fact that last year’s projections were totally worthless doesn’t actually increase confidence in this year’s, now does it?
In his splendid brief “At The End Of An Age,” historian John Lukacs commented that “‘Conservatives,’ especially in the United States, are some of the most strident proponents of ‘Progress’; their views of the present and the future are not merely shortsighted but laden with a bellowing optimism that is imbecile rather than naive.” And Doug Ford is precisely this sort of conservative: entirely progressive in his outlook and only a progressive caricature of conservatism in his scorn for ideas and coziness with developers.
I spent time at the Canada Strong and Free Networking Conference this month, and heard many persons of wisdom insist that conservatism could be a winner if only it were more into big government and progressive values. But a few voices took a contrary position, including one saying we should value beautiful architecture and livable cities. Whereas Doug Ford and his “More Homes Built Faster” Bill C-23 are just into piling up cement in suburbs and “densification” from Kingston to Kitchener to Kapuskasing as progressive urbanists advocate. Cottage associations are mostly the kind of progressive people who’d hate provincial Conservatives regardless, but they’re up in arms about this one with reason.
There is another vision, skeptical of the state and inspired by private initiative. And curiously it’s one most Canadian conservatives claim to share while campaigning, including the Doug Ford of 2018. But his associates actually boast, or at least think they’re boasting, that he doesn’t think in abstractions. He has the common touch. As in retail politics which is about handing out goodies not addressing the common good based on principle. Including, I might add, a “10 percent refundable corporate income tax credit for manufacturers producing goods in Ontario.”
No free markets for Doug Ford. Heck no. Spend and meddle.
For this we elect conservatives?