Does China’s New Anti-Stealth Airship Drone Mean the Age of Stealth Aircraft Is Over?

Does China’s New Anti-Stealth Airship Drone Mean the Age of Stealth Aircraft Is Over?
A Chinese new-type reconnaissance and strike unmanned aerial vehicle is displayed during the 15th China International Aviation and Aerospace Exhibition in Zhuhai, in southern China's Guangdong Province, on Nov. 14, 2024. Hector Retamal/AFP/Getty Images
Mike Fredenburg
Updated:
0:00
Commentary

Chinese researchers and engineers have developed a lighter-than-air drone: an airship with infrared sensors optimized to detect the heat plume that all jet bombers and fighters emit.

While infrared sensors being able to detect stealth aircraft is nothing new, China claims that its new infrared sensors detect stealth aircraft from distances up to 1,240 miles. If true, this exceeds the distance at which current aircraft-mounted infrared search and track systems can detect stealth aircraft by a factor of greater than 10.

However, it is important to note that the maximum claimed ranges for detection occur when the stealth aircraft is detected by infrared sensors from the back or the side of the plane. Frontal detection, especially of high-flying stealth aircraft, would be reduced to about 217.5 miles because of the aircraft’s reduced forward heat profile.

The optimized sensors were developed by researchers at the Changchun Institute of Optics, Fine Mechanics, and Physics. They will be mounted on a large lighter-than-air drone, about 150 meters, that can move slowly or hover for very long periods at approximately 65,000 feet.

Deploying these drones at this height maximizes their range. Still, it does not eliminate the problem that all infrared detection systems suffer from: Their detection ranges can be dramatically lowered by clouds and other atmospheric conditions. But even so, such detection ranges under optimal conditions are a noteworthy addition to China’s multilayered approach to detecting stealth aircraft, which includes various types of radar that detect stealth aircraft from even greater ranges and are less affected by weather.

Further, the use of telescopes suggests the possibility that their ability to detect infrared signatures derives from focusing on a relatively small airspace. If this is the case, many such drones would be required to cover a large airspace.

The new anti-stealth drone is not revolutionary. Indeed, while the infrared sensor tech is enhanced by the use of telescopes and frequency tuning that is focused on detecting the exhaust plumes of stealth aircraft, its core enabling technology is widely used in mercury-cadmium-telluride-based infrared detectors. So we are not talking about any kind of scientific breakthrough. Instead, we are talking about clever engineering that the United States and other technologically sophisticated countries in theory could quickly replicate.

The United States has invested billions in tethered aerostats (balloons) as a cost-effective method to significantly increase radar coverage. This approach is much less expensive than the continuous operation of airborne warning and control system aircraft, which are costly to purchase and maintain.

Aircraft that this new airborne system is designed to detect and track include the F-22, the F-35, the brand-new B-21, and the B-2. But such aircraft may also be detected by China’s network of over-the-horizon radars, which can detect stealth aircraft at ranges greater than the new airborne infrared detection systems.

While neither the new airborne infrared sensor nor over-the-horizon radar provides tracking data that are accurate enough to guide a missile directly into an aircraft—for example, weapons-quality tracking—they can provide more than enough information to be highly useful in a number of ways in countering stealth aircraft.

They can, for instance, provide more than enough information to guide intercepting fighters directly to the stealth aircraft. By narrowing down the search space, they can cue up anti-air missile radars that can focus their radar energy into a smaller area, and in doing so, detect the stealth aircraft and provide weapons-quality tracking that will allow anti-air missiles to lock onto the stealth aircraft. They have the potential to guide missiles that have lock-on after-launch capabilities to get close enough so that missiles’ sensors, radar infrared, or both can lock onto the incoming stealth aircraft.

All of this adds up to China joining Russia and other countries in accumulating a wide variety of systems designed to counter stealth; they include satellites, lasers, infrared sensors, and a multitude of different radar systems, all of which have the potential to be enhanced by artificial intelligence. Collectively, the ability of counter-stealth systems and solutions to detect stealthy aircraft is growing faster than the ability of aircraft to become stealthier.

Does this mean stealth is dead? No. But if your air superiority strategy is built around the idea that incorporating stealth into your aircraft will inevitably allow them to achieve lopsided kill-to-death ratios or be able to attack targets deep in enemy territory with impunity, then putting too many eggs in the stealth basket could be a big mistake.

Consequently, perhaps the United States needs to reconsider just how much it is counting on stealth versus other options less vulnerable to a breakthrough, or an accumulation of minor breakthroughs, that effectively strip away the advantages of a stealth aircraft that we paid a huge premium to acquire, maintain, and support.

Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.
Mike Fredenburg
Mike Fredenburg
Author
Mike Fredenburg writes on military technology and defense matters with an emphasis on defense reform. He holds a bachelor's degree in mechanical engineering and master's degree in production operations management.