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Clear Indications of an Impending Recession

Clear Indications of an Impending Recession
The U.S. economy is showing recessionary signs and, if not already in recession, is likely to go into one relatively soon. Maria Vonotna/Shutterstock
Milton Ezrati
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Commentary

When the spring quarter’s gross domestic product (GDP) showed a decline, a great media debate ensued about whether the economy is already in recession. Those who say yes point to the commonly held definition that a recession is two consecutive quarters of declining real GDP, and the news seems to fit that criterion.

Milton Ezrati
Milton Ezrati
Author
Milton Ezrati is a contributing editor at The National Interest, an affiliate of the Center for the Study of Human Capital at the University at Buffalo (SUNY), and chief economist for Vested, a New York-based communications firm. Before joining Vested, he served as chief market strategist and economist for Lord, Abbett & Co. He also writes frequently for City Journal and blogs regularly for Forbes. His latest book is "Thirty Tomorrows: The Next Three Decades of Globalization, Demographics, and How We Will Live."
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