Since 2020, China’s electric vehicle (EV) makers have been on a streak.
Other vehicle manufacturers are starting to look nervously in their rearview mirrors, err ... cameras, and in some cases, sideviews. Some, such as Volvo, are even looking at their stock and realizing that a Chinese competitor has already bought a controlling share.
Is China’s growing EV dominance an example of the so-called cooperation with China on global challenges such as climate change? Does the Biden administration deserve to ballyhoo it all as another shining example of U.S.–China cooperation?
No. Beijing is the world’s worst polluter and an existential threat to democracy. It uses its weak environmental regulations and lousy labor policies to outcompete U.S. car manufacturers on price. Every dollar that China makes can be turned by Beijing into military aggression and human rights abuse, up to and including genocide.
By allowing EV makers to outsource production to China from the United States, Europe, Japan, South Korea, and other allied countries, consumers in advanced democracies may be getting cheaper cars now. Still, they will pay in the long run when China monopolizes the supply chain.
A second advantage handed to China in the world’s switch from gas is that EV engines are simpler than the gas and diesel engines they replace. Gone will be the comparative advantage that higher-skilled engineers and workers in market democracies had.
The article, published on Jan. 25, had the headline, “The US Hasn’t Noticed That China-Made Cars Are Taking Over the World.”
In 2021, Japan led in passenger vehicle exports, Germany and China were neck-in-neck for second place, and the United States and South Korea trailed behind.
Since 2020, as the EV revolution hit, China is gaining fast. The output of all its competitors is either stalling or, in the case of the United States, falling.
BYD outsold Tesla in 2022 and already sells electric cars and buses in Europe. Buying the Ford plant in Germany “would give BYD a stronghold for further expansion on the continent,” according to the Journal.
A third advantage to Beijing from the world moving away from oil is that China has very little of it. The United States has a lot, so the shift is particularly painful for relative U.S. economic strength.
China’s defeat of America’s oil and vehicle industries, after so many others have already gone, will put downward pressure on good American jobs. Industrial cities will atrophy more than they already have. Crime and drug use will rise. Governments from the local to the national levels will lose tax revenue. Fewer dollars will go to social and defense spending.
Into that power vacuum, repeated in democracies around the world, the CCP will step.
According to a Jan. 24 article published by The Heritage Foundation, “China is engaged in an economic war with democracies around the globe and America must stay energy-independent. ... If electric vehicles overtake the internal combustion engine, America should not cede its energy independence to China or other unfriendly nations.”
This is the reality of the cheap, shiny electric cars that make us feel great about saving the planet in so much style that our neighbors shrink with envy. But that wilting won’t stop at the neighbor’s fence. We will all diminish together as the CCP’s power grows.
Our best defense is decoupling from China, including when we buy an EV.