The Chinese Navy’s Liaoning carrier group followed international rules and performed what seemed like routine training in the Western Pacific last month. But it raises concerns regarding the regime’s ambitions and capabilities.
During the maneuvers of the Chinese carrier group, it conducted formation search and rescue, and tactical flight and air handling of its embarked J-15 fighters and Z-9 and Z-18 helicopters. Take-off and landing training was carried out in both the day and the night. And the group practiced air and anti-submarine warfare training, command and control operations, replenishment exercises, and force coordination.
None of those maneuvers sound particularly concerning on their own. And the Chinese forces followed all international rules during these procedures. But the location of their exercise, in a critical strait near Japan, and maneuvers have important implications. Overall, it suggests that the regime is more capable of achieving its aggressive ambition.
The second major importance comes from the ship itself. Launching carrier operations represents the newest efforts of Beijing to modernize its navy and arsenal. This means that as time goes on, the regime’s naval forces will have a greater amount of modern equipment and form a larger part of their armed forces with this carrier as one of the central pieces.
China is considered by many analysts as a traditional land power. At periods throughout its history, such as the Ming Dynasty, China had vast treasure fleets and extensive overseas trades. Many of the dynasties had large river fleets that fought massive engagements. But overall, the perception is a correct one. Instead of the previous goals of a brown-water navy such as protecting littorals, traditional search and rescue missions, or smuggling interdiction, the regime wants to expand its global role with these new and larger ships. The Liaoning is a clear part of this goal and every training exercise brings the Chinese communists (Chicoms) closer to their goal.
The comparison isn’t perfect for several reasons because America had a long tradition of allying with European naval powers, particularly Great Britain, which China does not. The regime also has a habit of preemptively seizing territory to solve disputes. Thus, the training missions of Chinese carriers suggest a more menacing version of the Great White Fleet.
China’s buildup of multiple carriers implies that officials in Beijing might advertise their missiles and anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) strategy as a game changer. But they still believe the carrier is an important logistical and symbolic platform to display their national strength. It reinforces the idea that the Chinese need more than a narrowly-focused new technology and must contest America’s dominance of blue waters with a fleet of its own. It might even suggest that the regime doesn’t believe in the capability of its weapons system to penetrate U.S. defenses. Or maybe it’s simply covering all of its bases.
Whatever the exact reason, the reforms and carrier exercises suggest China is serious about its new mission and increasingly able to achieve its goals.