China’s military would seek to prevent the United States from mobilizing its forces in the Pacific in the event that war broke out between the two countries, according to the highest-ranking officer of the Marine Corps.
US Marine Corps Modernization Efforts
The Marine Corps is currently undertaking a series of dramatic and, at times, controversial changes in its force design as part of an effort to develop advantages against near-peer opponents, such as China’s People’s Liberation Army.The effort comes after more than 20 years of counter-terrorism operations, in which the corps has often benefited from battlefield superiority in terms of intelligence and materiel.
To do that, it would need to balance its funding and training priorities between meeting threats in the present and preparing for those of the future, he said.
“It’s causing us to approach risk in a different way, managing near term and long term,” Berger said. “We could pull everything forward and be absolutely 100 percent focused on this week, [but] mortgage the future or the inverse and not really be worried about this afternoon and just looking down the road.”
Berger noted that Chinese military capability is “on a very different level” than it was just 10 years ago and that the corps’s extant processes “were not designed with that in mind.”
Logistics
To that end, however, Berger said issues taken for granted when fighting terrorists would be anything but a given when fighting China. Foremost among those issues are logistics and the intensive art of ferrying troops and materiel when they’re needed across an ocean while under constant pressure from Chinese forces.“When your backside is protected, [logistics is] not your first thought,” he said. “But when you assume that your backside is threatened, now it’s in the first part.”
When reviewing intelligence reports on potential operational pathways, Berger now asks to see the logistics for maneuvers “in the first paragraph.”
“I think logistics in a contested environment is a huge challenge for us,” Berger said. “It’s not insurmountable, but we need to acknowledge that, like we’re going to do to them, they’re going to challenge our sustainment.”
With that in mind, Berger said U.S. allies and partners would be essential components of national strategy, not just in terms of building a fighting force, but also in sustaining that force. In a potential conflict with China’s communist regime, he said, the United States would need to rely on nations such as Japan and Australia to assist in maintaining supply chains and coordinating forces, even as China sought to disrupt the nation’s ability to deploy its resources.
“Realistically, [China’s] going to challenge us back in our [ports] or beyond,” Berger said. “They’re going to try to slow our mobilization; they’re going to do everything that they can to slow us down as far back as possible.”
‘You Can Win Before Firing a Shot’
“We’re learning our way through how do you deter malign activity below the threshold of a hot war and how do you measure that, because it’s not a ‘win,’ [it’s] measuring a negative,” Berger said.As such, actioning intelligence and creating adaptable and resilient systems are vital to the corps’s ability to defend the nation and carry the fight against the enemy, he said. And whether China or the United States could perform that task better would determine the outcome of such a conflict.
“You can win before firing a shot,“ Berger said. “If you’re organized for it. If you can think deeply enough about it.
“We have to be actively learning because the world is moving at a velocity where if you think you’re comfortable today or tomorrow, you’ll be left behind.”