China’s new counter-espionage law broadens the definition of espionage, increasing the risks for foreign consultants, which some experts said may increase the risks for investing in the country.
On March 27, Chinese Premier Li Qiang told foreign attendees of the China Development Forum (CDF) 2023 in Beijing that China would unswervingly open up to the outside world, no matter how the international situation may change.”
Wang Wentao, China’s commerce minister, reportedly told world business leaders at the CDF that foreign businesses “are not guests, but family.”
Following that, in April, Chinese police visited the Shanghai office of the U.S. consultancy Bain & Company.
In May, the local public security agency visited Capvision’s offices in Suzhou and questioned its local employees. Its offices in Shanghai, Beijing, and Shenzhen were searched as well.
With scant information on the raids, there has been speculation of these consultancies’ approach to obtaining data and information, which China regards as a violation of its new counter-espionage law.
Economists believe that the raids in the guise of counter-espionage signal that Chinese Communist Party (CCP) head Xi Jinping has narrowed the space that his predecessor Hu Jintao had allowed these companies and that this new law might backfire on China’s economy.
‘Security Is Xi’s Core Focus’
The CCP’s rubber-stamp legislature began to revise China’s counter-espionage law in 2021 and passed an update last month.“Now security is Xi’s core focus,” said Chiou Jiunn-Rong, a professor at the Department of Economics of Taiwan’s National Central University, in a recent interview with the Chinese language edition of The Epoch Times.
According to Chiou, Xi has “trust issues” as he is afraid of being treated by Western countries in the same way he has treated them in the past.
Higher Risks for Foreign Companies
The new counter-espionage law empowers the regime’s authorities to gain “access to data, electronic equipment, information on personal property, and also to ban border crossings,” Reuters reported last month.Zheng Xuguang, a U.S.-based Chinese commentator and economist, blasts the regime for the vague definition of “national interests” and “security” in the revised law.
He said the new counter-espionage law broadens the definition of espionage, which is a very “arbitrary definition, without clear boundaries.”
“In the past, obtaining so-called classified national secrets was considered espionage. Now, anything that hinders national security is deemed espionage,” Zheng said in an interview with the Chinese language edition of The Epoch Times on May 23.
Zheng added that the communist regime has been conducting investigations on foreign consultant companies since 2020.
“Originally, [investigations] were carried out by the Administration for Industry and Commerce, now known as the Market Supervision Bureau. However, Xi was dissatisfied with the results and instructed the Ministry of State Security to take charge.”
“National security is like a box, and anything can be thrown into it,” Zheng said. “According to this law, conducting industry research is considered a threat to economic security, and investigating the backgrounds of officials can be seen as a matter of national security.”
Business services such as due diligence work are very crucial to foreign investors, especially in opaque authoritarian states like China.
“Without proper due diligence, foreign companies will be unable to invest in new projects in China,” Eric Zheng, president of the American Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai, told the New York Times earlier this month.
Davy Jun Huang, an American economist, said that foreign consultant businesses have to be more cautious in their operations in China under the new counter-espionage law. “This law grants significant investigative powers to the authorities. Though it doesn’t mean [consultancies] will lose their business in China, it simply means that the difficulty of accessing information will increase exponentially,” Huang said.
As the space for publicly available information in China continues to shrink, foreign companies are ultimately concerned that there may come a moment when they can no longer fulfill their due diligence investigations and supply chain audits because the CCP increasingly refuses to share critical information.
The New Law Backfires
According to Chiou, a significant portion of China’s exports has been contributed by foreign-invested enterprises in recent years. With foreign investment starting to withdraw, the orders they have previously received will naturally shift to other countries.“Under such stringent regulatory measures, it is understandable that foreign-invested enterprises have no confidence in investing and operating in China,” Chiou said. “Structurally speaking, losing the support of foreign-invested enterprises will likely cause increasing harm to China’s economy in terms of exports, investment, and employment.”
Chiou added that taking a longer-term perspective, in areas such as technology acquisition, mutual talent development, and the establishment of standards for new products, China appears to gradually disconnect from the Western world. “If China cannot lead in advanced global technologies or standards, its economy will gradually decline and drift further away from the global stage,” said Chiou.
The Chinese regime’s increasing assertiveness on the global stage has alerted the United States and its allies.
“Europe and the U.S. essentially agree on the concept of risk mitigation. This includes aspects such as intellectual property protection, human rights, compliance, and legality, and tackling industry monopolies. Both Europe and the U.S. strongly demand these factors as essential and necessary conditions [of cooperation with China], rather than negotiating on them as in the past,” Huang told The Epoch Times.
“Such risk mitigation measures will have a significant impact on China’s export business in the next three to five years,” Huang said.