“They’re attempting, both separately and in concert, to change important aspects of the existing international order. They are revisionist powers. The challenge they pose is collective and requires a collective response.”
Friedberg made the comments during a Jan. 19 webinar hosted by the German Marshall Fund of the United States, a think tank that seeks to promote cooperation between North American and European nations.
Friedberg said that, since 2014, China and Russia have engaged in a pattern of increasingly close cooperation, both overtly and covertly aligning themselves against the greater international order.
That growing closeness, he said, was driven by several factors, most notable among them a distrust of the values that underpin democratic societies.
“The deepest and perhaps the most important [of these factors], is a shared fear of, and animosity towards, what the Chinese now refer to as the so-called ‘universal values’ of the liberal democratic West, and the threat that these pose to the legitimacy of the Russian and Chinese regimes,” Friedberg said.
“Both China and Russia still need access to Western markets, capital, and technology,” Friedberg said. “So, they’re walking a very thin line. They’re pushing hard, but they’re trying not to provoke the Western powers into cutting them off.”
Such a situation may not last forever, however, Friedberg warned.
If Eurasian markets grew further detached from the West, for instance, or if either regime ceased to have at least some fear of Western reprisal for their actions, the game would be over.
“Authoritarian leaders have to become convinced that democratic societies, and the leaders of democratic societies, are willing to do things which not only impose costs on their opponents, but impose costs on their own societies,” Friedberg said.
“I’m afraid that they don’t believe that as much as I would like them to.”
To that end, Friedberg said that the increasing cooperation between the Chinese and Russian regimes was greater than many previously supposed, and that such an effort could only be countered through cooperation on a similar scale.
“We need collectively to have some broader conception of what we’re up against and how we need to respond to it,” Friedberg said.
“We’re up against this coordinated challenge from these big Eurasian authoritarian powers. They are pushing outwards and trying to expand their spheres of influence and modify the international order in various ways.”
“Ultimately, the response to that is going to have to be a more integrated collected response from democratic societies in the western hemispheres, in western Europe, and in the Asia-Pacific,” Friedberg said.