The United Kingdom is forecast to borrow a total of 394 billion pounds ($527 billion) this year, the highest recorded level of borrowing in peacetime, Chancellor Rishi Sunak said on Wednesday.
The government’s response to the pandemic, including the furlough scheme, support for the self-employed, tax cuts, and extra funding for schools and local councils, will cost 280 billion pounds ($374 billion) this year alone, Sunak said in Parliament as he announced the government’s one-year spending review.
The Treasury is also allocating an initial 18 billion pounds ($24 billion) next year to fund testing, personal protective equipment (PPE), and vaccines, 3 billion pounds ($4 billion) to support the recovery of the National Health Service (NHS), and over 2 billion pounds ($2.68 billion) to keep the transport arteries open.
“The economic impact of coronavirus, and the action we’ve taken in response, means there has been a significant but necessary increase in our borrowing and debt,” Sunak said.
“This situation is clearly unsustainable over the medium term,” he said, adding that “we have a responsibility, once the economy recovers, to return to a sustainable fiscal position.”
The UK economy will contract this year by 11.3 percent, the largest fall in output for more than 300 years, Sunak told Parliament, citing forecasts by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).
Borrowing is expected to fall to 164 billion pounds ($219 billion) next year, 105 billion pounds ($140 billion) in 2022-23, and will then remain at around 100 billion pounds ($133 billion), for the remainder of the OBR’s forecast.
The elevated borrowing levels and the persistent deficit mean that underlying debt will continue rising every year, reaching 97.5 percent of GDP in 2025-26, OBR figures show.
Even with growth returning, economic output is not expected to return to pre-crisis levels until the fourth quarter of 2022, Sunak said.