Some forecast models show that the storm could impact northern Florida and Alabama by Wednesday, Oct. 10.
Florida Gov. Rick Scott said on Oct. 7 that he will declare a state of emergency for the Florida Panhandle area for the storm.
The NHC said that Michael is expected to “spread heavy rains over Western Cuba” on Oct. 7. Between 3 inches and 7 inches of rain could fall in some places. Two to 4 inches could fall on the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and northern Honduras.
“Elsewhere, outer rain bands from Michael are expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches across the Florida Keys through Monday,” according to the NHC.
The storm has winds of 40 mph with higher gusts. “Strengthening is forecast during the next several days, and Michael could become a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday,” according to the agency.
The NHC added: “There is an increasing risk of dangerous storm surge, rainfall, and wind impacts over portions of the northern Gulf Coast by mid-week, although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude of these impacts. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of this system.”