A government-issued central bank digital currency (CBDC) would face barriers to adoption and require “significant and sustained” investment by the Bank of Canada (BOC), according to a new report.
“Nevertheless, even if there were greater market interest than we suggest, the two-sided payment market barriers facing broad-based adoption and use—which would be required for a CBDC to be useful—appear to be significant.”
In May, the BOC announced it was exploring the possibility of issuing a CBDC, seeking consultation from the public on its design.
The new BOC report, “Unmet Payment Needs And A Central Bank Digital Currency,” noted that some Canadians could face difficulties making a payment if cash was no longer accepted in that instance. It noted that while 98 percent of adults own a bank account and debit card and 87 percent own a credit card, and only around 14 percent have abandoned cash purchases.
“About half of these people still carry some cash presumably as a precaution,” wrote researchers.
The report also said an estimated 13 percent of Canadians have owned Bitcoin and that “ownership and use of other crypto instruments for payments is even less significant.”
Barriers to Widespread Adoption
The report warned that all the factors combined may thwart the widespread adoption of CBDCs as “unnecessary or unwanted.” It said most adults do not experience gaps in their access to a range of payment methods, “and this would probably continue to be the case in a cashless environment.”“For a payment-oriented central bank digital currency to address unmet payment needs the main consumer groups who already have access to a range of payment options would have to widely adopt the currency and use it at scale,” wrote researchers. “This is necessary to encourage widespread merchant acceptance.”
The report’s authors said Canadians would have weak incentives to adopt and use CBDCs at scale. “If that were the case widespread merchant acceptance would also be unlikely. This suggests that addressing unmet payment needs for a minority of consumers by issuing a central bank digital currency could be challenging.”