NEW DELHI—Eleven civilians have lost their lives in a fresh wave of targeted killings in the Indian union territory of Jammu and Kashmir since Oct. 5, causing the Indian administration and military to go on high alert in a region that shares a border with Pakistan.
Experts said in a geopolitically volatile region like Kashmir, the targeted killings will ensure that the pot keeps boiling and that no resolution is possible for the Kashmir problem that utilizes a major chunk of India’s defense budget. India and Pakistan have fought four wars over Kashmir since 1947.
By “final solution,” Prime Minister Imran Khan was hitting at India’s 2019 constitutional decision that led to India dividing the region into two federally governed territories or Union Territories (UT): The UT of Jammu and Kashmir on the border with Pakistan and the UT of Ladakh along the border with Pakistan’s ally, China.
The Uniqueness of the Killings
Vicky Nanjappa, an Indian journalist who specializes in internal security said the boys carrying out the recent killings are unlike terrorists earlier operating in the region, who were hard-core militants and were profiled by the administration. Each of the 11 killings was done by different people, and this has created new challenges for Indian intelligence.“In the absence of providing any concrete intelligence on who the killer exactly is, considering he’s committing an act of terror, you really don’t have intelligence. And that seems to be the new strategy,” said Nanjappa. This is the reason, he said, that Indian security personnel have rounded up so many terrorist sympathizers.
“It’s gonna be a long investigation. Where are the funds coming from? From where was the pistol procured? You need to build up a case, and only then get to the bottom of it,” said Nanjappa.
This new strategy is a new psychological approach to terrorism. Most of those who commit such acts are indoctrinated ideologically and are expected to come back and commit more such acts. But with the recent targeted killings, this has changed, according to Nanjappa.
“If they’re not repeating these people, then it is clearly a payoff, it’s like a hit job which they have asked them to do, with a specific list in their hands, and so on,” he said.
Sunanda Vashisht, a political commentator from Kashmir’s minority Hindu community told The Epoch Times that the killings remind her of the late 1980s when the minorities faced similar targeted killings, which led to their mass exodus.
“That’s how they would identify them, they would put the hit lists everywhere, and then you knew; my own uncle was on a hit list,” said Houston-based Vashisht whose family had also to flee the violence then. She testified before a U.S. Congressional hearing on Human Rights organized by the Tom Lantos Human Rights Commission in Washington in November 2020.
Vashisht highlighted the case of two teachers, a female Sikh and a male Hindu whose identity cards were checked while a recon of the school was done before they were killed at point-blank on Oct. 7.
Driving a Narrative
Vashisht said the militants want to counter the narrative of “normalcy” that the Indian government attempted to build up after the political reorganization of the state, which was intended to initiate development projects and invite investment.By killing the Kashmiri minority people they want to threaten the larger minority community from returning, by killing Kashmiri Muslims, militants want to threaten them from siding with India or working with the Indian administration, and by killing migrant workers from other parts of India, they want to give a message to larger India of not settling in Kashmir, she said.
“The narrative is you can’t bring any kind of change in Kashmir,” she said, adding that the perpetrators don’t want Kashmir’s integration with the rest of India.
“They do want the Kashmir pot to be boiling. They do want to make this a global issue. They do want to show the world that nothing has been solved in Kashmir. There can be no businesses in Kashmir; that from the mainland they can’t come and join here,” said Vashisht.
Suneem Khan, a Kashmir-based columnist described the recent target killers as “locally bred pressure points” that are being activated and utilized to manufacture a tense minority-majority relationship countrywide and instill fear, particularly among non-Kashmiris.
It’s also to invite “reprisal from the state in terms of stringent security measures.”
This would further push the narrative among Indians of Kashmiris being “anti-India, anti-nationals, or anti-non-Muslims,” which Khan termed as “dubbing the entire population as theocratic or fascist.”
“This way, the distance between this region and the people of mainland India would widen more. And the pot would keep brewing more and more trouble. They will have more recruitments—they will be more local recruitments,” said Khan.
“They won’t have to send people from across the border. Maybe they have to send guides, maybe they have to send more warlords, ... to guide the Cabal of terrorism, but the foot soldiers they'll get from the local ground,” he said.
Geo-politics Involved
Shivamurthy said the terrorists and their mentors through the recent targeted killings are working on a “more complicated and dangerous” geopolitical plot.“India in a three-front war—two from Pakistan and China, and the other two halves from the Kashmiri secessionists and a hostile Afghanistan,” said Shivamurthy adding that the 1980s outbreak of militancy in Kashmir is linked to Afghanistan’s Anti-Soviet Mujahideen era when Pakistan used various radical organizations to recruit fighters for the Kashmir cause.
By soft targeting, infiltration, and killing minorities, the terrorists are inviting the “wrath” of the Indian state, he said.
“This would destabilize the passive peace and maximize non-militant violence in Kashmir. Thus, attracting the attention and sympathy of extremist elements in Afghanistan and making it difficult for the Taliban to sustain their cautious policy,” said Shivamurthy adding that as Afghanistan enters a new great game, the terrorists and the Pakistani establishment will try their best to entrap India into a three-front war.
The Taliban on an earlier occasion said that Kashmir is a bilateral issue between India and Pakistan while on a later occasion its spokesperson once mentioned that it has the right to raise the cause of all Muslims, including of Kashmir.