Real GDP per Capita Declines for Sixth Consecutive Quarter

Real GDP per Capita Declines for Sixth Consecutive Quarter
A sign outside a building at Statistics Canada in seen in Ottawa on March 12, 2021. The Canadian Press/Justin Tang
The Canadian Press
Updated:
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The Canadian economy shrank on per-person basis for a sixth consecutive quarter as higher interest rates continued to weigh on business investment.

Statistics Canada’s gross domestic product report says the economy grew at an annualized rate of one percent in the third quarter, down from 2.2 percent in the second quarter.

The figure is in line with economists’ expectations, but lower than the Bank of Canada’s October forecast of 1.5 percent.

Real GDP per capita fell 0.4 percent in the quarter.

Higher household and government spending was partly offset by slower inventory accumulation, lower business capital investment and lower exports.

Meanwhile, economic growth remained weak in the month of September, with real GDP growing 0.1 percent. A preliminary estimate suggests the same pace of tepid growth in October as well.

Despite the slower growth, however, household net savings in the third quarter increased as disposable income grew at double the rate of spending.

The report says high wages and lower interest rates helped the household savings rate hit a three-year peak in the third quarter, reaching 7.1 percent.

By comparison, it was below three percent at the end of 2019.

The latest economic data comes ahead of the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision on Dec. 11.

Economists are widely expecting the central bank to once again lower its policy rate, which currently sits at 3.75 percent.

Governor Tiff Macklem announced a half-percentage point rate cut in October in response to inflation returning to target, but said the size of the next cut would be determined by incoming economic data.

Canada’s annual inflation rate bounced back up to two percent in October after falling to 1.6 percent the previous month.

The Bank of Canada will also consider the November job report ahead of its rate decision.