OTTAWA—A reinvigoration of efforts in the Indo-Pacific alongside U.S. initiatives should guide the next iteration of Canada’s foreign policy and defence, experts say.
“There are two parts to that. One is deterrence and the other is preventing coercion,” Spalding said. “Both of them are important.”
Canada’s foreign policy faces a challenge in prioritizing scarce resources, but observing U.S. strategies can provide some guidance and may work to create even better mutual relations.
Mulroney said the Indo-Pacific focus is not about a Sino-American rivalry for supremacy. It’s actually an expression of concern by like-minded nations that care about the rule of law and proper global governance.
“China begins to count heads when it faces opposition, and when there are enough people in the room who are in opposition, they begin to think of things in a different way,” he said during a panel discussion at the MLI event.
“It’s convenient to portray this as a Sino-American battle for hegemony, but it should be portrayed as much more than that and Canada can help.”
Canada has been a valuable member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), and the transatlantic economy has been a success for North America and Europe.
MLI Munk senior fellow for foreign policy Shuvaloy Majumdar said helping shape the transatlantic order has prepared Canada well for the Indo-Pacific. After all, Canada is not only an Atlantic and Arctic nation but also a Pacific one—and the balance of power is shifting toward the Orient.
India as a Valuable Ally
Canada and the United States have plenty of work to do together on a number of fronts to secure their democracies and assist allies in upholding the rule of law and personal freedoms in the face of rising influence from authoritarian states—primarily China.The United States views India as a counterweight to China and the Indo-Pakistani border is critical to its Indo-Pacific plans, as it could be an ideal launchpad for U.S. forces.
India has boycotted China’s Belt and Road Initiative, and its rapidly growing economy and population of over one billion gives the United States and Canada a valuable ally.
Indo-Pacific Over the Arctic
Besides the Indo-Pacific, the Arctic is another region where the United States and Canada share similar objectives as allies. Cyber threats and, of course, the matter of Chinese telecom giant Huawei in relation to 5G infrastructure are also challenges for national security that both countries are dealing with.The first thing Canada can do to get on the same page as the United States is to reject Huawei from any involvement in its 5G infrastructure, Spalding said.
“Probably the most important thing right now is focusing on what’s going on with Huawei and [intelligence] sharing,” he said. “[Canada] not basically having Huawei in their system—I think that’s probably most important near-term.”
“It’s going to be a big problem between the United States and Canada particularly in intelligence sharing, and they’ve already said that with the Five Eyes partners, so this is a big issue,” Spalding added.
Beyond that, focus on the Indo-Pacific should take precedence over the Arctic, he said.
While the U.S.-Canada joint North Warning System in the Arctic is badly outdated, Spalding said allies have “plenty of deterrent capabilities vis-a-vis the Russians” but no similar tools in the Indo-Pacific to counteract Chinese or Russian influence.
Global Power Shift to Asia
In a speech to the Montreal Council on Foreign Relations on Feb. 21, Foreign Affairs Minister François-Philippe Champagne spoke about the deep transformations and uncertainties the world is undergoing, including rising inequalities, declining human rights, and selective application of international law.He also acknowledged the shift of direction of global power.
“We also see it with a rise in economic, political, and diplomatic power from the West to Asia,” he said.
Mulroney said that while he’s very concerned about the way forward with China, Canada is fortunate to have the United States as its neighbour; however, Canada needs to gain greater awareness of its international role to guide its foreign policy.
“I think the window is still there … we still have a reserve of goodwill in the world,” he said.
“There’s time, but there’s not unlimited time.”