Portugal’s Government Proposes 100 Percent Tax Cuts for Under-35s in Bid to Reduce Emigration

About 850,000 people ages 15 to 39 have already left the country because of low wages and poor working conditions.
Portugal’s Government Proposes 100 Percent Tax Cuts for Under-35s in Bid to Reduce Emigration
Portugal's national flag in Lisbon, Portugal, on June 27, 2012. Patricia de Melo Moreira/AFP/GettyImages
Owen Evans
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Portugal’s center-right minority government is taking steps to address the exit of youth from the country by proposing a 100 percent tax break for many people ages 35 and younger, in a measure aimed at discouraging emigration.

Under the initiative, introduced on Oct. 10 as part of the government’s first budget bill, individuals younger than age 35 earning as much as 28,000 euros (about $30,500) per year will receive a 100 percent tax exemption in their first year of work. This exemption will gradually decrease to 25 percent between the eighth and 10th years. The plan is expected to affect more than 300,000 people.

About 850,000 people ages 15 to 39, or roughly 30 percent of those in that age range, have left the country and are now living abroad because of poor working conditions and low wages, according to the Emigration Observatory.

“This is a budget that seeks to lower taxes for families, youth, and companies ... while promoting economic performance and betting on investment,” Finance Minister Joaquim Miranda Sarmento said at a news conference. “It’s a cautious macroeconomic scenario. The Portuguese economy has enormous potential.”

The Democratic Alliance coalition won the March 10 election by a slim margin over the outgoing Socialist Party, whose support it needs to pass legislation. Failure to pass the budget could result in the collapse of the government.

The Democratic Alliance has ruled out working with Chega, the anti-immigration, populist party that is now the third-largest political force in Portugal, having quadrupled its parliamentary representation to 50 lawmakers.

The tax haven policy for younger workers was put forward in May, when Portuguese Prime Minister Luís Montenegro said: “We are giving more hope to young Portuguese to settle in Portugal. We need them here. ... it is possible to reverse the trend [of emigration] that unfortunately worsened in the past years.”

He said that this tax cut will cost the state about 1 billion euros (about $1.09 billion) a year.

Portugal ranks as one of Western Europe’s poorest nations, with many workers earning less than 1,000 euros (about $1,090) per month.
According to Eurostat, the body that collects statistics for the European Union, 20.1 percent of the Portuguese population was at risk of poverty in 2022. The highest rates recorded in the EU in 2022 were in Romania (34 percent), Bulgaria (32 percent), Greece (26 percent), and Spain (26 percent).

Portugal’s capital, Lisbon, has also proved financially unviable for many young Portuguese because of low wages and high rents.

Lisbon overtook Milan, Madrid, and Barcelona as the most expensive capital in southern Europe in which to buy a home in August 2022, according to the European real estate data platform Casafari. Rental prices increased by 23.2 percent in the same year.
The average age at which people leave the parental home in Portugal is 33.6, the highest in the European Union, according to data from Eurostat.

Immigration

In 2020, Portugal’s population increased for the fourth consecutive year because of a higher number of immigrants than emigrants. There were 67,160 arrivals compared with 25,886 departures, resulting in an overall growth of 0.02 percent.

Under the previous socialist government, which was in power for eight years beginning in 2015, Portugal had one of Europe’s most open immigration regimes, with policies that allowed illegal immigrants to regularize their status via work offers.

Portugal’s foreign population hit more than 1 million in 2023—more than double the 2018 figure of 480,000.

In June, Portugal’s prime minister announced a new plan to toughen some immigration rules.

“We need people in Portugal willing to help us build a fairer and more prosperous society,” Montenegro said at the time. “But we cannot go to the other extreme and have wide-open doors.”

Under the new rules, immigrants must secure an employment contract before moving to the country, with priority given to qualified professionals, students, people from Portuguese-speaking nations, and those seeking family reunification.

Reuters contributed to this report.
Owen Evans
Owen Evans
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Owen Evans is a UK-based journalist covering a wide range of national stories, with a particular interest in civil liberties and free speech.