British Supermarket Giants Warn Costs From Budget Will Lead to Higher Inflation

Planned hikes in business rates and increases in employer National Insurance contributions are among policies that could drive up supermarket prices.
British Supermarket Giants Warn Costs From Budget Will Lead to Higher Inflation
A Sainsbury's store is pictured in London, on January 12, 2011. Ben Stansall/Getty Images
Evgenia Filimianova
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British supermarkets have warned that tax changes in last week’s Budget will push up prices, passing extra costs on to consumers.

Retail bosses said that a “barrage of costs” coming from hikes in employer National Insurance contributions (NICs) and the national living wage will feed into a higher level of inflation.

Sainsbury’s chief executive Simon Roberts said on Thursday that a rise in employer NICs will cost the retailer £140 million, even before wage uplifts are applied.
Labour raised the employer NIC rate to 15 percent starting from April next year, while minimum wages will rise to £12.21 an hour for those aged 21 and over.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves suggested that rather than lowering staff wages, businesses can “absorb” the employer NIC increases by accepting reduced profits or through efficiency gains.

However, Roberts said that retail and hospitality sectors shouldn’t be expected to absorb “this level of cost inflation without inflationary impacts.”

“So, I think it’s difficult to disagree that there will be inflation and that’s going to come fast as this cost impact flows,” he added.

Another retail giant, Asda, said that tax changes will lead to £100 million in extra costs for the business.

Asda chairman Lord Stuart Rose called the increase in employer taxes a “big burden for business to carry.”

He said that Asda will try to limit the costs passed on to the consumer, but acknowledged that prices will rise in some form.

“We are a very efficient industry, as retailers. We will do everything we can to mitigate this cost.

“But of course, you can’t deny it will probably be inflationary to some degree. We’re just working through the details of that now … We’re looking at the impact,” Rose said.

Business Rates and Farmers Tax

The government also plans to raise business rates on properties with a rateable value of £500,000 and above.

This includes the majority of large distribution warehouses and covers 80 percent of Sainsbury’s stores.

The retail giant, currently paying around £500 million in business rates, anticipates the costs to increase next year.

Sainsbury’s urged the government to “level to playing field” and move quickly in its reform of business rates, which it called a “really difficult tax on the retail industry.”

Roberts also called on the government to “really listen” to concerns from British farmers, who opposed the Treasury’s decision to cut the inheritance tax relief on agricultural assets.

Under plans announced in last week’s Budget, agricultural property relief (APR) will be scrapped, so tax will be levied at 20 percent on farms worth more than £1 million. Farmers have said it will force their families to sell off the land they inherit in order to settle the tax bill.
Reeves said that in some cases the threshold could in practice be about £3 million.

Quarter Results

Sainsbury’s said its sales (excluding fuel) were up 4.6 percent and grocery sales up 5 percent for the 28 weeks to Sept. 14, compared with the same period a year earlier.

In like-for-like retail sales, excluding fuel, Sainsbury’s recorded grew by 3.4 percent for the period, driven by a 4.2 percent rise in the most recent quarter.

The supermarket firm also said it projects strong sales over the last months of the year, dubbed “the golden quarter” due to acceleration in sales in the lead-up to Christmas.

“As we head into the festive season, there is real energy and excitement at Sainsbury’s and Argos and we’re expecting another strong performance,” Roberts said.
Reporting on trading in the third quarter of the year, Asda said its total revenues, excluding fuel, declined 2.5 percent to £5.3 billion, with like-to-like sales declining 4.8 percent.

The retailer plans to invest an additional £13 million to increase store hours during the busy “golden quarter” period.

PA Media contributed to this report. 
Evgenia Filimianova
Evgenia Filimianova
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Evgenia Filimianova is a UK-based journalist covering a wide range of national stories, with a particular interest in UK politics, parliamentary proceedings and socioeconomic issues.