Cubans took to the streets in Havana to protest the communist regime’s new constitution on Feb. 23, proving U.S. President Donald Trump’s assertion that changes in Venezuela will have a ripple effect in Cuba and Nicaragua.
Trump suggested in an address to the Venezuelan community in Miami on Feb. 18 that change in Venezuela will spread to Cuba and Nicaragua as well, as part of a process of purging socialism and communism from South America.
Public protests are extremely rare under Cuba’s communist dictatorship, but a referendum on the regime’s new constitution has drawn resistance from a vocal opposition movement. The new constitution proclaims, “The Communist Party is the director of Cuban society forever” and that socialism is ”irreversible.”
Some 81 percent of the 8.7 million of the electorate had cast votes by 5 p.m. on Feb. 24, an hour before polls closed, according to the national electoral commission. Early results indicated that the referendum succeeded.
The constitutional referendum is the first update to Cuba’s governance since 1976. While cementing communism as the permanent guide for Cuba, the document includes references to the recognition of private property, foreign investment, small businesses, the internet, the right to legal representation upon arrest, and habeas corpus.
The new constitution would also restructure government, adding a prime minister and setting term limits for the president, among other changes. The communist regime orchestrated thousands of local meetings to debate the draft of the new constitution last year, but the original draft is nearly identical to the document put forth for the referendum of Feb. 24.
The current constitution was approved in 1976 with 97.7 percent of 5.6 million registered voters in favor, and just 54,000 voting no. Most analysts expect the new version to pass by a lesser margin among 8 million registered voters.
In an uncharacteristic fashion, the communist regime went to great lengths to promote the referendum and the call to vote “yes.” The government has portrayed a “yes” vote as patriotic, while the new constitution’s most vociferous opponents say “no” would be a step toward ending decades of Communist rule.
And with an ever-bolder civil society and more Cubans than ever before connected to the internet, public debate has become more active than in the past. Hashtags such as #YoVotoSi (I vote yes) and #YoVotoNo (I vote no) compete for space on Twitter.
“We can only overcome tyranny if everyone who wants a free and democratic Cuba gives full support ... I vote no,” wrote Jose Daniel Ferrer, leader of the Patriotic Union of Cuba, some of whose members have suffered temporary detentions and raids on their homes in the lead up to the referendum.
The communist regime has used its monopoly on traditional media and public spaces to press for approval and censor other points of view. The opposition used social media and door-to-door tactics to call on people to vote no or abstain on the day of the referendum.
Cuban communist dictator Miguel Díaz-Canel said the vote took place as events in Venezuela showed the “imperialist threat” facing the region, a reference to the United States. Trump recognized Venezuela’s Juan Guaidó as the legitimate leader after Venezuela’s elected National Assembly declared socialist dictator Nicolás Maduro’s presidency illegitimate.