Air Canada notched the worst on-time performance among large airlines in North America in 2023, according to a new report, even as the carrier surged back to profitability.
The country’s biggest carrier landed 63 percent of its flights on time last year, placing it last among the continent’s 10 largest airlines, says aviation analytics firm Cirium. That means roughly 140,000 planes rolled up to the gate late—more than 15 minutes after scheduled arrival.
The score was five percentage points below the second- and third-lowest carriers, JetBlue Airways and Frontier Airlines, respectively.
Canada’s other major airline, WestJet, placed seventh in North America with a score of 69 percent.
“When I joined the industry, good OTP was 75 percent-plus,” said Willy Boulter, a Cirium advisory board member and 35-year aviation veteran.
Targets have gone up since. Delta Air Lines came first with an on-time performance (OTP) of 85 percent, followed by Alaska Airlines at 82 percent.
Better technology in areas ranging from jet engines to air traffic control have made on-time goals more achievable than ever, said Mr. Boulter.
Other, smaller airlines in Canada and the U.S. may have had worse on-time records than Air Canada’s, but weren’t included in the report due to their size.
Air Canada said its outcomes reflected challenges that affected carriers across the country last year.
“However, our operation has been consistently improving so that by year-end our monthly on-time performance showed a double-digit improvement over July, a significant increase,” said Air Canada spokesman Peter Fitzpatrick in an email.
Forty-nine percent of Air Canada flights in July arrived late, according to Cirium.
The airline’s focus remains on reducing the number of delays and cancellations in 2024, Mr. Fitzpatrick said.
In the past, the Montreal-based company has pointed to a shortage of air traffic controllers, bad weather and a network running at full tilt amid high demand, which can mean longer recovery times after a disruption.
CEO Michael Rousseau has acknowledged Air Canada’s relatively low ranking, including after a wave of flight delays in June and July.
Despite more staff and revamped technology, the carrier’s operations failed to meet “expected levels,” he told analysts on a conference call in August.
The chief executive identified “severe weather”—thunderstorms, in particular—and global supply chain issues as among the culprits.
He also acknowledged that high load factors—when all planes are almost fully booked—do result in more “spilling traffic” after flights are cancelled, as passengers scramble to rebook with competitors and may arrive hours or days later than planned.
John Gradek, who teaches aviation management at McGill University, noted that those challenges were not unique to Air Canada, despite its tardier track record. Air Alaska deals with inclement weather too, for example.
Air Canada is “counting on Canadians” to prioritize availability over punctuality, Mr. Gradek argued.
“It’s more important for us to be able to get a seat to Jamaica or to Dubai or to Bangkok, and the heck with the on-time,” he said. “And that’s a shame.”
Gabor Lukacs, president of the Air Passenger Rights advocacy group, says Air Canada’s explanations for its low on-time standing “ring hollow.”
“WestJet is flying the same weather, the same air traffic control environments,” he said.
The results stem partly from a failure to ensure the number of tickets align with the capacity of the whole flight ecosystem, from airport slots to Nav Canada staff.
“The airlines cannot just pretend that the capacity’s in place,” he said. “There are no proper systems in place to rein in airlines that do this type of behaviour.”
The summer travel peak poses a slew of obstacles, as carriers look to maximize their fleets to fly as many customers as possible.
“The harder I work the airplane, the higher the risk that that airplane will have a mechanical issue ... and that these airplanes will not operate on time,” said Mr. Gradek, who worked at Air Canada for 18 years.
“Delta does value on time performance quite highly. Air Canada does not,” he claimed, stating that its last-place results partly reflect business decisions around scheduling and route choices.
Other reasons can account for delays. The cold weather in Canada means planes need to be de-iced as early as October, runways need to be cleared of snow, and landing and takeoff times can be more spread out.
The frosty hurdles make achieving parallel on-time performance north of the border a challenge, experts say.
Over the holidays, however, the fairly mild temperatures across the country meant that most passengers enjoyed smooth sailing. That outcome stood in contrast to the tales of travel nightmares from 12 months earlier, when thousands of passengers saw their flights delayed or cancelled largely due to poor weather.
In peak travel season, some fleets are often stretched too thin to find a backup plane right away, Mr. Gradek pointed out.
Strained capacity in the sector extends to labour as well, from pilots to baggage handlers. In July, the International Air Transport Association called out air traffic control organizations in North America, which include Nav Canada, for staffing shortages that “continue to produce unacceptable delays and disruptions.”
Nav Canada has acknowledged that occasional delays at the country’s biggest airports are related in part to a lack of air traffic controllers. More than 400 new recruits are now in training, with 600 more slated to be hired in the next two years, the organization said.
On average, every minute of delay for one airplane costs the carrier about US$100 on average, according to aviation analyst Tony Brooks, drawing on 2022 data from the U.S. Department of Transport.
“It is estimated delays cost over US$1 billion each year to the industry, a vast sum which could be put to better use towards investment in airline and airport infrastructure,” he said in the Cirium report.
Air Canada earned $2.08 billion in profit in the first three quarters of 2023. The resurgence followed 11 straight quarters of losses totalling $10.01 billion between 2020 and 2022, when demand for travel dried up due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
