3 Baltic Pipe and Cable Incidents ‘Are Related’, Estonia Says

A damaged Balticconnector gas pipeline that connects Finland and Estonia is pictured in this undated handout picture in the Baltic Sea. Finnish Border Guard/Handout via Reuters

VILNIUS/HELSINKI—The three incidents that resulted in damage to a gas pipeline and two telecom cables between Estonia, Finland, and Sweden “are related,” Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas said.

Finland on Friday said it had raised its risk assessment for gas supply security as a result of the damage to the Balticconnector Finland-Estonia pipeline, which operator Gasgrid has said could be out of commission until April or longer.

“An important gas import connection will be out of use during the winter season 2023/2024 for at least five months,” the Finnish National Emergency Supply Agency said in a statement.

The risk level is now at two on a three-level scale, the agency said, adding it would not need to intervene in the markets to secure gas supply.

Finnish police leading the pipeline investigation have named the Hong-Kong-flagged container carrier NewNew Polar Bear as the prime suspect in damaging the gas pipeline early on Oct. 8.

A large anchor was found near the pipeline, and the investigators believe the pipe was broken as a ship dragged it across the sea bed.

Damaged Telecom Cables

Two telecom cables connecting Estonia to Finland and Sweden were also damaged on Oct 7–8. Tallinn is investigating the cables incidents.

In the case of the Estonia-Finland cable damage, it is also focusing on the Hong Kong vessel, and on Thursday evening Ms. Kallas said all three incidents were likely connected.

“We have reason to believe that the cases of Balticconnector and the communication cables are related,” she said in a statement. “No version (of events) can be confirmed or denied regarding the Estonian communication cables.”

Accident or Sabotage?

One of the key questions investigators are still trying to answer is whether the incident was accidental or deliberate.

In Finland, a top defence official told Reuters that while subsea cable ruptures are quite common worldwide due to negligence or poor seamanship, the pipeline incident was “really suspicious” and “not a routine case.”

“There are several factors related to this that ring alarm bells,” Janne Kuusela, the director general of the Finnish defence ministry said in an interview, without giving specifics.

“Has there been some kind of a state actor behind this and on what kind of mandate? These things need to be verified before any robust counter-action could be taken,” he said.

China said it was willing to provide the necessary information in accordance with international law.

NATO has stepped up its patrols in the Baltic Sea after the incidents.