The first lady of the United States has decried social media’s “potential to be destructive and harmful when used incorrectly,” particularly for children. Many people agree, especially those who have followed trends over the past year. What a gigantic change.
These platforms were once loved and celebrated as major innovations that made life better, but no longer.
Let’s be clear on what we’re talking about. The big controversies are over Facebook and, secondarily, Twitter. They stand accused of violating privacy, empowering online harassers, allowing elections to be manipulated, coarsening public debate, giving hate a platform, censoring dissent, and just about every awful thing you can think of.
Other major platforms such as LinkedIn and Instagram are faring much better. And there are thousands of competitors to each of them.
It’s true that the advent of social media was one of the great moments in modern life. It opened up the world in ways previously unimaginable. It gave rise to beautiful predictions of the future: Everyone could reach everyone. New friendships would be born. Media hierarchies would be flattened. We would find out more truth about the world. Information flows would end censorship, empower new talent, and put control in the hands of citizens instead of elites.
Too Much Exuberance Too Soon
The optimism about the platforms was too short term. In the early days of email, users were overjoyed at the idea that email provided a free and instant alternative to the paper letter. It was glorious. Then came the spam. There were a few years there when the inbox was nothing more than spam, viruses, malware, and scams. It was devastating to behold.The Power of Trolls
Web developers have always underestimated the power of trolls, that is, people who obtain personal satisfaction by despoiling a venue with ill will and malice.I recall opening a regular forum for conversation in the late 1990s. I was stunned to discover that openness to everyone couldn’t work. There were always people who joined in order to ruin, not to construct, and I developed an informal rule that trolls constitute 3 percent of the human population. I quickly worked to educate myself on how to hunt them down and ban them. In every single case, I was accused of censorship—and administrators have to think about whether that is true.
But what the admin ultimately decides is that the value of the whole is more important than the “right” of anyone to ruin things for everyone else. If you let the people who are motivated by malice run free, the good people will leave. This is still a problem for all social media today. It is too easy to accuse them of censorship when the major goal is simply to provide a valuable service.
Even apart from trolling, there is the persistent problem of “internet courage,” ways that people behave when they are anonymous and never have to face the people they demoralize and dehumanize. It’s a constant hit and run. These people might not be trolls as such; they might just be in a bad mood. They enjoy the sense of power they get from being able to reach anyone with a direct hit.
Business Dependency
What’s more, many online businesses, including sites for independent journalism, over the past 10 years have started and thrived on their social-media reach. They start a website, open the normal social channels, start to publish, and enjoy advertising revenue.For a while, everything worked. It was hugely addictive but many managers of web spaces didn’t entirely realize it. What many of these entrepreneurs didn’t appreciate is the extent to which they depended upon reach and traffic from Facebook. Once Facebook (which faced its own problems in finding a revenue model) turned down their reach, moving instead of “pay to play,” these venues faced declining traffic.
Social Bubbles
Other social and cultural factors played into the loss of trust in dominant platforms of social media. They were based on a model that cobbled together your friend circle for you. Your feed became filled up with opinions being expressed by a small sect of opinion, and then fights among your circle began to break out routinely. The happy world of your Facebook feed turned into bitter acrimony, with factions, splits, meanness, and nastiness all around.Media Consolidation
At the very time this was happening, free information began to replace paid information. Mainstream media became consolidated. They scrambled hard to figure out how to survive without entirely gutting staff and without becoming completely dependent on so-called click bait. The Washington Post sold out to Jeff Bezos. The Wall Street Journal struggled for years to get subscribers. The New York Times is still trying to figure out the new economics of media.Trump Panic
In the midst of all of this, there was the political question. To the shock of nearly everyone, Donald Trump won the presidency when every mainstream source predicted that he wouldn’t. For many people, it seemed obvious that something, somewhere, somehow had broken down the democratic system that had thus far seemed a reliable partner with ruling-class priorities. Panic ensued. A witch hunt began. Who is at fault? The Russians? Facebook? A failing of the mainstream media? Someone had to take the fall.Centralization Versus Decentralization
A more fundamental problem is that the network effect led to an unsustainable centralization of the product. Facebook displaced everyone else and began to rule all. Every user began to believe that he or she should be in charge, forgetting that the core model is that every user is being asked to provide content that the enterprise then sells to advertisers. Today, the revolt against centralization is on.The social-media world of the future won’t be centralized. It will take many different forms, and the replacement for Facebook isn’t likely to be a copy. It will be something else entirely, and we can see this already happening. This realization will force us all to come to terms with a reality of the world that social media has heretofore led us to deny: it’s a huge world out there and the varieties of social experience are infinite.
Not one of them is perfect; not one of them is permanent.