Support for Republicans Increases Throughout California in 2024 Election

Some Republicans are leading in congressional races that are still too close to call.
Support for Republicans Increases Throughout California in 2024 Election
A voter casts her ballot at a polling place inside the Sunset Ministry church in San Francisco on Nov. 5, 2024. Loren Elliott/Getty Images
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Republican support is on the rise throughout California, according to data published by the secretary of state.

California’s most populated counties on the coast demonstrated their historical support for the Democratic ticket, while Republican President-elect Donald Trump enjoyed support in the inland counties.

Nonetheless, Trump made considerable headway throughout the state compared with 2020.

In the 2024 election, Trump received 39 percent of the vote in California, while Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris garnered 59 percent, according to unofficial preliminary results on Nov. 10. In contrast, Trump received 34 percent of the vote in 2020, versus 64 percent for Joe Biden.
Comparison of vote percentages in California for former President Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in 2024 versus Trump's results against Joe Biden in 2020. (Sophie Li/The Epoch Times)
Comparison of vote percentages in California for former President Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in 2024 versus Trump's results against Joe Biden in 2020. Sophie Li/The Epoch Times

Flipped Counties

Based on preliminary results, Trump currently leads in several counties won by Biden in 2020.
In San Bernardino County, Harris has received 47 percent of the vote to Trump’s 51 percent in preliminary results. In 2020, Biden received 54 percent of the vote, and Trump received 44 percent.
In 2024, preliminary results out of Riverside County show Harris garnered 48 percent and Trump 49 percent. In 2020, Biden received 53 percent of the vote and Trump received 45 percent.
In Fresno County, 2024 preliminary results show Trump won 53 percent of the vote, while Harris won 45 percent. In 2020, Biden won Fresno County with 53 percent while Trump received 45 percent of the vote.
In Merced County, Trump had 52 percent of the vote compared to Harris’s 46 percent. In 2020, Biden received 54 percent of the vote in Merced County compared with Trump’s 43 percent.
In Stanislaus, Trump won 55 percent of the vote, while Harris had 43 percent. Biden received 49 percent of the vote in 2020 compared with Trump’s 48 percent.
In San Joaquin, Trump had 49 percent compared to Harris’s 48 percent. In 2020, Biden carried 56 percent of the vote. Trump received 42 percent.

In certain counties he won in 2020, Trump gained more ground.

In Kern County, Trump has won 59 percent to Harris’s 39 percent so far. In 2020, Trump won 54 percent, while Biden won 44 percent of the vote.
In Tulare County, Trump has won 60 percent of the vote compared with Harris’s 38 percent. In Tulare County in 2020, Trump won 53 percent of the vote, while Biden received 45 percent.

Harris Wins Urban Centers

Urban centers such as the San Francisco Bay Area, Sacramento, Los Angeles, and San Diego remained solidly blue, though Trump did make inroads in each compared with 2020.
In Los Angeles County, Trump made gains versus the 2020 election results. Harris’s 65 percent of the vote this year falls short of the 71 percent Biden received in the state’s most densely populated county. Trump, meanwhile, has received 32 percent of the vote in 2024 compared with 27 percent in 2020.
Harris has taken a slim lead in preliminary results in Orange County, with 49 percent versus Trump’s 48 percent. In 2020, Biden won 53 percent of the vote to Trump’s 44 percent.
In San Diego County, Harris enjoyed 57 percent of the vote this year, while Trump won 41 percent. In 2020, Biden won 60 percent and Trump 37 percent.
Preliminary results in San Francisco show Harris presently holds 81 percent of the vote for 2024, while Trump holds 15 percent of the vote. Biden won 85 percent of the vote in 2020, while Trump received just 13 percent.

Trump has received nearly 5 million votes in California while Harris has received more than 7 million. California, considered a “safe blue state,” has more than 22 million registered voters. Trump’s 2020 vote total in California in 2020 was 6 million to Biden’s 11 million.

Previous polling showed that economic issues, housing, and homelessness in California were the top concerns for voters in the state. For issues facing the nation as a whole, California voters were most worried about threats to democracy, the economy, unemployment, jobs, and immigration.

Congressional Races Too Close to Call

Several key congressional races in California remain too close to call.
In the race for California’s 27th Congressional District in northern Los Angeles County, Democrat George Whitesides has 50.9 percent of the vote, while Republican Mike Garcia holds 49.1 percent of the vote.
In District 47, which includes Huntington Beach in Orange County and nearby coastal communities, Democrat David Min holds 50.5 percent of the vote versus Republican Scott Baugh’s 49.5 percent of the vote.
Long-serving Republican incumbent Ken Calvert has 51.4 percent of the vote in District 41, east of Los Angeles, compared to Democrat Will Rollins with 48.6 percent.
In District 22, located in the San Joaquin Valley, Republican David Valadao has 53.6 percent of the vote versus Democrat Rudy Salas with 46.4 percent.
Also in the San Joaquin Valley, Republican incumbent John Duarte holds 51.3 percent of the vote over Democrat Adam Gray with 48.8 percent in District 13.
In parts of Orange and North San Diego counties in District 49, Democrat incumbent Mike Levin holds 51.7 percent of the vote compared to Republican Matt Gunderson with 48.3 percent.
And in District 45, based in Orange and Los Angeles counties, Republican incumbent Michelle Steel has 51.1 percent of the vote compared to Democrat Derek Tran with 48.9 percent.