Younger voters in Georgia said they supported Vice President Kamala Harris while older voters said they voted for former President Donald Trump.
Initial exit poll results in Georgia show former President Donald Trump leading with men by a 12 percentage point advantage and Vice President Kamala Harris leading with women voters by 7 percentage points, according to the National Election Pool conducted by Edison Research.
Georgia, one of the most sought-after battleground states, will cast 16 votes in the Electoral College. President Joe Biden carried the Peach State in 2020.
The results are considered preliminary and will be updated as results continue to arrive.
New data published by the NEP pollsters compared how Trump and Harris are performing with male and female voters in both Georgia and North Carolina. The Tar Heel State is another one of the battlegrounds of the 2024 election. It will issue 16 votes in the Electoral College as well.
By gender, Trump is winning with men in both Georgia and North Carolina, while Harris is leading with women in both states. Among male voters in Georgia and North Carolina, Trump leads by a 12 percentage point and 15 percentage point margin, respectively. Meanwhile, Harris leads with women by a 7 percentage point margin in Georgia and a 12 percentage point margin in North Carolina.
In Georgia, Harris is performing slightly worse with women than President Joe Biden did in 2024. In 2020, 54 percent of women voters who responded to the survey said they voted for Biden, while 45 percent said they voted for Trump.
In 2024, that margin shrunk by 1 percentage point in favor of Trump, with 53 percent of women saying they voted for Harris, while 46 percent said they voted for Trump.
By comparison, Trump lost no ground with male voters in Georgia over the past four years. With male voters in Georgia who responded to the poll, Trump leads Harris by a 12 percent margin, precisely as he did in the 2020 edition of the exit poll.
By race, Trump is winning with white voters by a 43 percentage point margin. Harris has a wide advantage with Black voters, where she leads by 74 percentage points, and Latino voters, with a 13 percentage point advantage. Among those who said their racial identity does not fit into the aforementioned groups, Trump leads Harris by 15 percentage points.
Additional data from the survey compared Trump’s performance with Black voters in Georgia and North Carolina.
According to the Nov. 5 exit poll, Black voters in Georgia prefer Harris over Trump by a 74 percentage point margin. In North Carolina, the same cohort prefers Harris over Trump by a 75 percentage point margin.
In both of those states, however, Harris is performing worse than her Democratic party predecessors who ran in 2016 and 2020.
In 2016, Black voters in Georgia preferred former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over Trump by an 80 percentage point margin. In the same year, Black voters in North Carolina chose Clinton over Trump by an 81 percentage point margin.
By age, Trump is leading with voters aged 45 to 64, and those older than 64, while Harris has the advantage with younger voters. Harris’s widest lead is in the 18-29 age group, where she’s ahead of Trump by 20 percentage points.
Voters with a college education are more likely to back the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate, while those without a college degree are more likely to vote for the Republican Party’s candidate. According to the NEP exit poll, Trump leads the cohort without a college degree by 11 percentage points, while Harris leads the college degree-holding group with a 12 percentage point advantage over Trump.
Harris is also winning with first-time voters. The Georgia exit poll results show that 53 percent of first-time voters cast a ballot for Harris, while 46 percent voted for Trump.
However, more Georgians switched their vote to support Trump than they did to support Harris. According to the NEP Exit Poll, 6 percent of voters who backed Biden in 2020 switched to Trump in 2024, while only 2 percent of 2020 Trump voters defected to Harris this year.
Data from Around the Country
New exit polling data released later in the evening of Nov. 5 shed additional light on how the presidential candidates are performing among different demographics.In Florida, Latino voters are breaking for Trump. According to the results of the exit poll, respondents who identified themselves as Latinos said they voted for Trump rather than Harris by a 16 percentage point margin.
That is a substantially better performance among Latino voters in the Sunshine State than in previous elections. In 2020, Latino voters who responded to the poll said they preferred Biden over Trump by a 7 percent margin. In 2016, Latino respondents told exit pollsters they preferred former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over Trump by a 27 percentage point margin.
In Michigan, a battleground state that saw much of the last-minute campaigning by both candidates, 52 percent of respondents who told exit pollsters they were part of a union household said they voted for Harris. Conversely, 47 percent of the same cohort said they cast their ballot for Trump.
In Wisconsin, another site of heavy last-minute campaigning by both the Democratic and Republican candidates, the rural-urban divide is clear. Among respondents to the exit poll who said they are city dwellers, Harris beat Trump by a 19 percentage point margin. However, respondents who said they live in a rural area told pollsters they prefer Trump over Harris by a 17 percentage point margin. In the Wisconsin suburbs, Trump holds a slim 1 percentage point advantage over Harris.
