The Republican Party is in a prime position next year to take back the Senate as there will be pickup opportunities in swing states, including Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, and in red states like Ohio, Montana, and West Virginia.
The GOP needs to flip only two seats in order to win back the Senate—one if the GOP wins back the White House as the vice president is the president of the Senate and casts the tie-breaking vote.
Mr. Youngkin, a multimillionaire businessman, narrowly won the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial race over former Democrat Gov. Terry McAuliffe, becoming the first GOP governor of the commonwealth in under a decade and turning a state that went to President Joe Biden by double digits in 2020 into a purple state.
GOP strategist Matt Mackowiak said Mr. Youngkin would be a solid Senate candidate and should run because “that would be great for Virginia and for the country.”
Promises Kept
Those promises include banning critical race theory in Virginia public schools, making masks optional in schools, increasing teacher pay, eliminating the state’s grocery tax, enacting the largest education budget in state history, firing the parole board, and not accepting a salary.While the GOP is in the majority in the Virginia House of Delegates, Mr. Youngkin has had to work with a Democrat-controlled state Senate. This has led to the governor not being able to fulfill some of his promises, such as instituting a gas tax holiday.
“Should he not run for President, I expect the Senate GOP leadership to actively recruit him,” said Mr. Mackowiak.
After all, Senate GOP leadership has been successful in recruiting candidates, including Gov. Jim Justice in West Virginia and entrepreneur and Navy SEAL veteran Tim Sheehy in Montana.
“The other statewide elected officials, Lt. Gov. Winsome Sears and Attorney Gen. Jason Miyares, would both also be strong candidates, but they may wait to move up the statewide ladder,” said Mr. Mackowiak.
Indeed, were Mr. Youngkin to win in 2024, he would be sworn in on Jan. 3, 2025, giving Ms. Sears, who unsuccessfully ran for Senate in 2018, 10 months as governor to show she can serve a full four-year term ahead of a possible run to succeed Mr. Youngkin as Virginia law does not allow the governor to serve consecutive terms.
Brian Darling, a GOP strategist and former senior communications director for Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), told The Epoch Times that while Youngkin would only give up the governor’s mansion for the White House, “he would be a strong candidate for any office right now, because of his victory at a time when Republicans nationwide are having some troubles.”
Severe Financial Issues
Currently, numerous state GOP parties—Michigan, Minnesota, and Colorado among them—have reportedly faced severe financial issues.Regardless of whether Mr. Youngkin enters the Senate race, other candidates are already up and running.
Nonprofit founder and Navy veteran Hung Cao, author and constitutional litigator Jonathan Emord, financial adviser and former congressional aide Eddie Garcia, attorney Gwen Hickman, and Scott Parkinson, vice president of government affairs at the conservative Club for Growth and a former chief of staff to Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-Fla.), have announced their candidacies.
“Current U.S. Senate candidate Hung Cao has a chance to make the race competitive,” said Mr. Mackowiak.
Mr. Cao unsuccessfully ran for Congress in 2022, losing to incumbent Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D-Va.) by almost several percentage points.
Woody Johnston II told The Epoch Times that while “it’s too early to tell,” Mr. Youngkin “would certainly be a strong candidate” even though Mr. Parkinson and Mr. Cao are already “great candidates.”
“The Virginia Senate race is solidly in play for Republicans,” said Mr. Darling.
“Look no further than Governor Youngkin’s recent victory and the fact that Virginia is a purple swing state,” he said.
“Sen. Tim Kaine might be dragged down by the voters of Virginia’s anger, as expressed in the gubernatorial election with the lockdowns and woke teachings of Virginia public schools.”
Mr. Youngkin was known for focusing mainly on state issues as opposed to talking about national matters—saying “Virginia” countless times during his campaign. He honed in on economic and cultural issues ranging from COVID mandates to inflation. Mr. Youngkin toed the line on COVID vaccines, encouraging people to get a vaccination but expressing opposition to mandates to get it.
‘Strongest Against Kaine’
“Gov. Youngkin would absolutely be the strongest candidate against Sen. Kaine—popular and successful governors make excellent Senate candidates, and Youngkin would be credible and well-funded, and would make that a competitive race,” he told The Epoch Times.“At the moment, there aren’t any other challengers with Youngkin’s profile, and national GOP resources are likely to be focused on more vulnerable incumbents, putting the VA race in a second tier of potential GOP pickups,” said Mr. Judy.
“As we get into next summer, if the environment looks particularly favorable towards Republicans, the VA race might get more attention, but it’s likely to stay pretty quiet unless Governor Youngkin gets in, which seems pretty unlikely.”
Mr. Johnston concurred with Mr. Judy in terms of how much of a priority the Virginia Senate race is for the GOP. Mr. Johnston said that while Virginia is in play “it’s probably lower on the target list then say Montana.”
The Epoch Times has reached out for comment to the National Republican Senatorial Committee, the GOP’s Senate campaign arm.
A former senior Youngkin campaign official told The Epoch Times it is unlikely Mr. Youngkin will throw his hat into the ring.
A spokesperson for Mr. Youngkin did not respond to requests for comment.