Political Consultant Says Colorado Supreme Court Ruling Will Make Trump’s ‘Numbers Rise’

A Republican pollster claimed that the former president’s political fortune has only increased.
Political Consultant Says Colorado Supreme Court Ruling Will Make Trump’s ‘Numbers Rise’
Former President Donald Trump arrives at Trump Tower the day after FBI agents raided his Mar-a-Lago Palm Beach home, in New York City on Aug. 9, 2022. David 'Dee' Delgado/Reuters
Jack Phillips
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A longtime pollster claimed that the Colorado Supreme Court’s ruling to remove former President Donald Trump from the ballot will backfire on Democrats.

“Colorado has just proven Trump’s theory true that he’s the victim of political persecution[.] His poll numbers won’t drop. On the contrary, they will rise,” posted Frank Luntz, who worked as a Republican pollster and consultant. He added that the former president “is now even more likely to win next November” after the ruling.
Mr. Luntz—who has been criticized in the past for his 2016 prediction that Hillary Clinton would win—noted that the former president’s poll numbers have only gone up after he was indicted four separate times this year. The RealClearPolitics national average of polls shows he has 63 percent support, outpacing the No. 2 candidate, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley by more than 50 percentage points each.

A divided Colorado Supreme Court on Tuesday declared he is ineligible for the White House under the U.S. Constitution’s insurrection clause and removed him from the state’s presidential primary ballot, although the order was delayed amid an appeal. The move sets up a likely showdown in the U.S. Supreme Court to determine whether he can remain in the race.

The decision from a court whose justices were all appointed by Democrat governors marks the first time in history that Section 3 of the 14th Amendment has been used to disqualify a presidential candidate.

“A majority of the court holds that Trump is disqualified from holding the office of president under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment,” the court wrote in its 4–3 decision.

Other strategists and pollsters have noted that the former president has only seen his political favorability rise after legal setbacks.

“Every time Trump has had an adverse engagement with the legal system, it has been like rocket fuel with Republican voters because it reinforces his core message that he is (and has been) unfairly treated since the moment he burst on to the scene,” GOP strategist Scott Jennings told the Daily Mail on Tuesday.

He added that “Republicans see this in the same way they saw two impeachments, the indictments, the Russia investigation, and all the rest—just another attempt by the elites and the Democrats to stop Trump and his voters from getting a fair shake in an election.”

“For Trump haters, this is like getting drunk at your office Christmas Party,” Mr. Jennings said. “It may seem like fun tonight, but you will really, really regret it tomorrow.”

Ruling

Colorado’s highest court overturned a ruling from a district court judge who found that President Trump could not be barred from the ballot because it was unclear that the provision was intended to cover the presidency.

“We do not reach these conclusions lightly,” wrote the court’s majority. “We are mindful of the magnitude and weight of the questions now before us. We are likewise mindful of our solemn duty to apply the law, without fear or favor, and without being swayed by public reaction to the decisions that the law mandates we reach.”

His attorneys said had promised to appeal any disqualification immediately to the nation’s highest court, which has the final say about constitutional matters.

Trump legal spokeswoman Alina Habba said in a statement Tuesday night: “This ruling, issued by the Colorado Supreme Court, attacks the very heart of this nation’s democracy. It will not stand, and we trust that the Supreme Court will reverse this unconstitutional order.”

The left-leaning group that brought the Colorado case, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington, hailed the ruling.

“Our Constitution clearly states that those who violate their oath by attacking our democracy are barred from serving in government,” its president, Noah Bookbinder, said in a statement after the ruling.

President Trump’s attorneys also had urged the Colorado high court to reverse a lower court ruling claiming that he incited the Jan. 6 Capitol breach. His lawyers argued the then-president had simply been using his free speech rights and hadn’t called for violence. Trump attorney Scott Gessler also argued the attack was more of a “riot” than an insurrection.

Professor and GOP consultant Frank Luntz smiles as he speaks to students with the U.S. secretary of state at the NYU Abu Dhabi campus in Abu Dhabi on Jan. 13, 2019. (Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images)
Professor and GOP consultant Frank Luntz smiles as he speaks to students with the U.S. secretary of state at the NYU Abu Dhabi campus in Abu Dhabi on Jan. 13, 2019. Andrew Caballero-Reynolds/AFP via Getty Images

Colorado Supreme Court Justices Richard Gabriel, Melissa Hart, Monica Márquez, and Justice William Hood ruled for the petitioners. They were all appointed by Democratic governors.

Chief Justice Brian Boatright dissented, arguing the constitutional questions were too complex to be solved in a state hearing. Justices Maria Berkenkotter and Carlos Samour also dissented.

“Our government cannot deprive someone of the right to hold public office without due process of law,” Judge Samour wrote in his dissent. “Even if we are convinced that a candidate committed horrible acts in the past—dare I say, engaged in insurrection—there must be procedural due process before we can declare that individual disqualified from holding public office.”

The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Jack Phillips
Jack Phillips
Breaking News Reporter
Jack Phillips is a breaking news reporter who covers a range of topics, including politics, U.S., and health news. A father of two, Jack grew up in California's Central Valley. Follow him on X: https://twitter.com/jackphillips5
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