A hurricane watch is in effect for the Alabama-Florida border to Suwannee River Florida, the NHC said in a 2 p.m. update on Oct. 8. A tropical storm watch is in effect for Suwannee River to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay, and a tropical storm watch is also in effect for Alabama-Florida border to the Mississippi-Alabama border.
A storm surge watch is in effect for Navarre Florida to Anna Maria Island Florida, including Tampa Bay.
The NHC said that a storm surge of 8 to 12 feet could hit Indian Pass, Florida, to Crystal River, Florida. A storm surge of up to 5 to 8 feet could hit the Okaloosa/Walton County Line to Indian River area. Other places on the Florida Panhandle could see several feet of storm surge.
A hurricane warning is in effect for Cuban province of Pinar del Rio, and a tropical storm warning is in effect for the Cuban province of the Isle of Youth as well as the coast of Mexico from Tulum to Cabo Catoche, including Cozumel.
The agency advised: “Michael will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday (Oct. 9) and Tuesday night, is expected to move inland over the Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on Wednesday (Oct. 11), and then move northeastward across the southeastern United States Wednesday night and Thursday (Oct. 12).”
The storm is forecast to strengthen even more as it passes over the warm Gulf waters.
“Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Michael is forecast to become a major hurricane by Tuesday or Tuesday night,” the NHC said.
Hurricane Michael will also bring 4 to 8 inches of rain in some places along the Florida Panhandle and the Carolinas, with an isolated 12 inches of rain, the agency forecasted.
Two to 4 inches of rain could fall along the Florida Peninsula, Florida Keys, portions of the Mid-Atlantic States, and the southern New England coast. “Local amounts of 6 inches” could fall in some areas, producing flash floods, the NHC said.