A Play of Socialist Tragedies
The socialist tragedy Venezuela has become really began in Havana when Fidel Castro and his guerilla fighters rode into the capital in January 1959. He was greeted by cheers from the Cuban people and the left wingers in the American media and academia. Then came the Russian nukes and the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, the mass imprisonment of Cubans who disagreed with the state confiscating their property, and of course, the executions as well as Castro’s torturous six-hour speeches.It’s been pretty much downhill from there. Even after the fall of the Soviet Union, communist Cuba continues to this very day, though the Cuban economy and people remain stuck somewhere in the past. A reasonable estimate would be around 1964, but one could certainly argue for 1959.
Russia’s Hollow World
However, after crossing the Atlantic in both new and vintage naval vessels, what does Russia bring to the Venezuelan people, who are suffering from widespread hunger, disease, a lack of medical care and other deprivations? Russia brings $209 million worth of military aircraft maintenance and $38 million worth of military uniforms.Why would Russia only bring military hardware and services? The answer is sad and so utterly pedestrian. What more can Russia offer today?
Can Putin help restore Venezuela’s economic or market development? Can he deliver advanced agricultural techniques or new medicines? Technology or manufacturing automation? More efficient oil extraction and refinement techniques? Sadly, none of those things. Russia’s economy is as hollow as an empty oil drum.
A Shrinking Global Footprint
Today, as in the Cold War, the Russians are all about projecting their power wherever they think they can. But there’s at least one big difference this time around. In 2019, the Russians aren’t the global superpower they used to be. In their former incarnation as the Soviet Union, they at least had a global vision, horrific as it was, of spreading communism.But then, in 1989, they lost the Cold War and their global footprint shrank to its correct shoe size—about a 7.5, narrow width with low heels. Eastern Europe was released from their tyrannical grip and once again blossomed economically and culturally. And without Soviet subsidies like sugar and other staples, places like Cuba and Nicaragua were more or less reduced to an exotic stamp for people who want to fill their passports with collector’s items.
A Blast from the Past
Will the Russians and Vladimir Putin to save the day? Nyet.Russia has its objectives, but they’re not about saving Venezuela from its socialist nightmare. Rather, Russia’s goal is to prevent Maduro, an ideological and military ally, from losing his grip on power. That, in turn, is about minimizing and containing American influence in the region and complicating its ability to act elsewhere.
A Dangerous, Declining Power
What grand ideas or visions is Russia propagating today in Latin America—or Syria, Crimea or any other place in the world? Protection of human rights? Capital investment into a struggling economy? Access to the vast Russian consumer market?Putin knows this is true; that’s what makes him so dangerous. He knows that he must change the facts on the ground, and soon. Otherwise, his country, with its aging and declining population, one-trick gas station economy and underutilized people will be left irretrievably behind.