Inflation in and of itself doesn’t affect small farms differently than larger farms, according to Fiona M. Scott Morton, professor of economics at the Yale University School of Management. If costs go up across the board, the changes hit operations of all sizes that depend on goods such as fertilizer and services such as transportation to operate.
Dairy and related products saw the smallest increase among the different food categories, with a rise of 1.6 percent in 2021. Fruits and vegetables rose by 5 percent year-over-year and by 0.9 percent monthly in December 2021.
In 2021, contracts that were made in advance may have helped some segments of the food category avoid price hikes. Producers that were able to make agreements for set prices over a certain period could have avoided increases while the contract was in effect.
New contracts will bring new terms that reflect inflation from the previous months.
“As these expire, there is going to be a hard reset,” Schwalls said.
While his farm has experienced input price increases, it hasn’t seen an uptick in demand for food produce, he noted.
Labor has driven up production costs as well, Darius Campeau, president of Ottawa Valley Meats, told The Epoch Times.
“In order for us to maintain production, we had to provide raises, bringing our average wage from $24 per hour to $33 per hour,” he said.
Automating processes by adding machines is a cost that larger processors might be able to absorb, but smaller operations have limited options.
“A processing machine that would replace a laborer might cost half a million dollars, a cost we cannot consider at this time,” Campeau said.
Yet big players have large stakes in the industry: Four large meat-packing companies control 85 percent of the beef market, according to a White House communication. Among pork producers, the top four processors hold 70 percent of the market. For poultry, the top four processors control 54 percent of the market.
A White House analysis of Tyson Foods published in November 2021 found an increase of 300 percent in profits for the company during the pandemic. The company responded that the numbers didn’t reflect data on rising input costs, increased fuel costs, supply chain issues, and labor shortages.
If a large processor sets a price for the cattle they'll purchase from a small operator, the small farm typically has two choices: agree to the price, as it wouldn’t be cost-effective to pay to ship cattle to a processor that offers a better price, but is located further away, or sell at the terms established by the larger player.
On Jan. 3, President Joe Biden and his administration pledged $1 billion in American Rescue Plan funds to support independent meat and poultry processors. The administration noted concern over large companies controlling opportunities and raising prices while hindering small establishments.
The aid package includes $375 million for independent meat producers, $275 million in capital for independent processors, $100 million toward training industry workers, $100 million to reduce inspection costs, and $50 million in technical assistance and research and development.
The changes from federal aid won’t be seen immediately, as time will be needed for the investments to take form and become established, Morton told The Epoch Times. Still, the larger players could contemplate adjustments as they see the aid distributed and upcoming competition take shape, she said.
In the meantime, consumers may continue to see higher prices at grocery stores.
“We used to retail a 10-ounce striploin steak for $9,” Campeau said. “Now we are selling them for $14, with the exact same margin.”
