Construction spending in the United States—an indicator of total spending on all types of construction—fell in August for the second month as the housing market declines further into a recession.
Economists did not expect the 0.7 percent decline in spending. Analysts polled by Econoday were for a 0.1 percent decrease, according to Breitbart, while Wall Street was expecting a drop of 0.2 percent.
“The figures were weak, but I had already penciled in some very negative estimates for the third quarter,” Stephen Stanley, chief economist at Amherst Pierpont, wrote in a note, cited Market Watch.
Residential construction spending fell 0.96 percent monthly, from $930.9 billion in July to $920.0 billion, the third straight month of decline. Nonresidential construction fell 0.38 percent, from $862.6 billion to $859.2 billion. The residential numbers are helpful for predicting future home sales and mortgage-origination volume in the country.
Under the private construction category, new single-family homes fell 2.9 percent, from $449 billion in July to $436 billion in August, as multi-family construction rose 0.4 percent.
The numbers have not been adjusted for inflation, and construction activity decline is estimated to be higher than shown in the report.
Cooling Housing Market
Existing U.S. home sales fell by 5.9 percent in July, according to data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), which called the situation a “housing recession.” In August, U.S. existing home sales slowed down for the seventh consecutive month.Mortgage rates started climbing swiftly after the Federal Reserve began to raise its benchmark interest rate this year.
In February, the federal funds rate was just at 0.8 percent, which has now risen to a range between 3.0 percent and 3.25 percent. On Feb. 2, the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was only 3.55 percent.