My Liberal-voting friends—including those who are presently alienated from Trudeau for his multiple failures of leadership during COVID—tell me Erin O’Toole is simply not a compelling alternative. This puzzles me, as any replacement to such a disappointing performer as Trudeau should not need to be “compelling” to attract disaffected voters, but merely be scandal-free and intelligent with a background in leadership training, and have a nose for threats to national security and democracy.
O’Toole is all that and more. On China and shrinking speech freedoms, for example, two issues where conservatives and moderate liberals agree, he was prescient. The Chinese Communist Party has been on his worry list for more than a decade as our “most challenging foreign policy relationship.” He was questioning Taiwan’s exclusion from WHO as early as May 2018. He has slammed Bill C-10, which would impose censorship on individual internet speech.
Successful politicians choose a handful of issues they hold strong convictions on, and hammer away at them relentlessly, day after day. Branding. A conservative politician in a centre-left country like Canada, whose elites—including most of the legacy media—are further left than the general population, has a tougher job presenting as a “compelling” alternative, even to a failed Liberal leader. A Conservative leader who always seems to be on the defensive or reactive will not gain purchase in the marketplace.
What advice would I give O’Toole? In a word, women. Trudeau has maintained his support amongst women in every demographic, even though his actual track record with real women, which has run the gamut from sexually loutish to ruthlessly controlling, is dreadful.
Men vote on a spectrum of issues. Women tend to focus on policies that affect women and families. Feminism played a huge role in Trudeau’s initial branding. It stuck. Centre-left women have remained loyal, partly because they associate the Conservative Party’s socially conservative wing with LGBTQ phobias.
But the current social-values scene is far more complex than it was a decade ago. A Conservative Party leader simply declaring gender issues a no-go area, or accepting everything handed down by LGBTQ activists as holy writ in a desperate ploy to “disappear” politically incorrect social values from the policy playbook, is no longer tenable.
When he was running for the leadership, I interviewed O’Toole by email. I asked him if he would “step up for the rights of women when they conflict with the alleged rights of those who identify as women.” I cited the endorsement by virtually all of Canada’s sport associations of an alleged “right” of biologically intact males claiming to “be” women in order to compete in women’s sports.
O’Toole wrote, “I stand up for all rights and will never play the game the left does to suggest that recent analogous grounds rights somehow trump traditional rights.” This very elegant phrasing suggests he believes that “traditional”—i.e. sex-based—rights should trump “analogous” rights—i.e. transgender rights—in sport and other women-protected spaces. Well, good, but there has been no followup from him.
Trans ideology is having a transformative effect on society, affecting escalating numbers of vulnerable children in irreversible ways and driving family-divisive legislation based in pseudo-science. This is therefore not just an issue for social conservatives, but for all Canadians.
Let O’Toole take up the protection of children from life-altering medical intervention they are incompetent to assent to, and of women’s sex-based Charter rights. He will show up Trudeau for the hypocrite he is on women’s rights, bridge the political chasm between social conservatives and liberal women, and force an open and necessary national rights debate that has for too long been suppressed by bullying ideologues abetted by ignorant media acolytes. A branding trifecta.