What’s going on with the U.S. housing market?
The High Price and High Interest Rate Trap
High interest rates and higher home prices have hit the housing market with a double whammy, leaving both home buyers and home sellers between a rock and a hard place. For buyers, interest rates have doubled and home prices have increased by 50 percent since 2022, pushing houses that were once within reach just two years ago completely out of reach today.Lack of Affordability–Not Demand–Is Hindering Sales Activity
Today, the housing affordability index, which is made up of three factors—buyer income, interest rates (the cost of money), and housing prices—is the lowest it’s been in a decade. All three factors have a considerable impact on each other and the affordability index. Over the past several years, both the cost of money (interest rates) and homes have far outpaced income increases, so housing affordability is much less today than it was just a couple of years ago.The reasons for higher home prices include higher construction material and labor costs and a shortage of housing due to higher regulation. Disruption in supply chains has driven material costs higher, while in some states, minimum wage laws as well as inflation have driven labor costs up.
Enter Assumable Mortgages
That’s where creative financing is helping out. As noted above, one of the biggest factors affecting housing sales is mortgage interest rates. But to get around the higher rates, which now hover in the 7 percent range, buyers and their agents are looking to put deals together with assumable mortgages.Assumable mortgages are mortgages that were taken out at an earlier time, when mortgage rates were in the 2 to 3 percent range. To facilitate the sale of their home, sellers may agree to let the buyer(s) assume or take on their current, low-rate mortgage, and make up the difference in both already-paid mortgage payments and increased value by coming into the sale with more cash than the normal amount, which can range from 3 percent to 20 percent down. That way, the new buyers are able to get into the property with a low-interest mortgage that makes monthly payments affordable.
But More Cash May Be Necessary
Even when buyers find a home for sale with the assumable mortgage option available, coming up with a much bigger down payment can be a big obstacle to closing the deal. One creative way around that is to take advantage of down payment assistance that may be available in your state or municipality. Qualifying terms vary, so it’s not a slam dunk for all borrowers, by any measure.If down payment assistance is not on offer, you can take out an unsecured personal loan of, if available, a secured loan collateralized by a certificate of deposit, a car, or even a loan from life insurance or a retirement plan. Some or all of these options will be available to some borrowers and not to others, on a case-by-case basis. If using a personal loan as a down payment, it’s a good idea to get that loan at least three months before making an offer on a property, so that it is “seasoned” with verifiable payments, showing that a buyer has enough monthly income to qualify for the mortgage payment as well as the debt service on the personal loan.
Seller Financing Making a Comeback
Seller financing is another option that is being seen more often in housing sales transactions these days. In those instances, the seller may own most, if not all, of the house outright and prefer to have the monthly income that comes from a buyer’s monthly mortgage payment. The advantage to the buyer is that the seller, not a financial institution, is setting the terms to qualify for the financing. That can make all the difference in the deal if the buyer’s credit rating is less than stellar.Multiple Buyers Are Also Showing Up
Another way to solve the home purchase puzzle is to combine the purchasing power of multiple buyers on a single property. It may be a cosigning relative, or it may be friends or family members who plan to live in the house or at least share ownership, equity, and appreciation. In any case, leveraging the power of multiple buyers isn’t new, but it is a great way for buyers to get into a property that they can’t qualify for on their own.All of these ideas have been tried and tested, but not every option is right for every buyer or seller. The good news is that home ownership can be increased in the United States through these and other creative financing strategies.