But back to Mr. Mejia’s “Reboot” report. It begins: “2023 turned out to be the hottest summer on record—scientists say July was the hottest month in 120,000 years. UN Secretary General António Guterres warned last fall, ‘We are on a highway to climate hell with our foot still on the accelerator.’”
It declared: “The geological archive reveals that Earth’s climate has varied as long as the planet has existed, with natural cold and warm phases. The Little Ice Age ended as recently as 1850. Therefore, it is no surprise that we now are experiencing a period of warming. ...
“The world has warmed significantly less than predicted by IPCC [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] on the basis of modeled anthropogenic forcing. The gap between the real world and the modeled world tells us that we are far from understanding climate change.
“There is no statistical evidence that global warming is intensifying hurricanes, floods, droughts and suchlike natural disasters, or making them more frequent. However, there is ample evidence that CO2-mitigation measures are as damaging as they are costly. ...
“To believe the outcome of a climate model is to believe what the model makers have put in. This is precisely the problem of today’s climate discussion to which climate models are central. Climate science has degenerated into a discussion based on beliefs, not on sound self-critical science. Should not we free ourselves from the naive belief in immature climate models?”
Bad Measuring
Controller Mejia complained: “The 2019 plan consisted of 47 long-term sustainability targets and 97 short-term milestones designed to help the City meet those targets. ...“In fact, measuring actual progress toward a carbon neutral city is a shortcoming of the 2019 plan. The ‘achieved’ or ‘exceeded’ programs were often low bars. Many lack meaningful targets (‘deploy additional charging stations by2021’—how many is ‘additional’?). Even more were simply focused on writing policies, starting pilots or simply embarking on publicity efforts, e.g., ‘Launch Green New Deal engagement program by 2020.’ Some are too vague to measure. For example, while it is a laudable goal to ‘Create 100,000 green jobs by 2025’ there is no definition of what exactly qualifies as a ‘green’ job.”
Mr. Mejia’s main point: “Given what former Mayor Garcetti described as ‘the existential threat of climate change,’ the small number of outcomes in the Green New Deal fall short of a comprehensive and actionable set of steps to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the primary driver of climate change.”
- Find ways to leverage L.A.’s assets and power
- Find ways to make reducing carbon emissions easier
- Protect L.A., especially the most vulnerable communities, from the impacts of climate change
- L.A. is a global model, so L.A. must lead
Garcetti’s Presidential Campaign Platform
Call me cynical, but here’s what the 2019 plan really was about. In February 2019, new Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and old Sen. Edward Markey (D-Mass.) proposed a Green New Deal for the country. It would have enacted draconian controls on the energy economy, plunging America into a massive depression. It was nonbinding and in any case went nowhere. (But it gave a lot of publicity to Ms. Ocasio-Cortez, who warned at the time, if draconian action were not taken, “The world will end in 12 years.”)Garcetti in India
Given his disastrous performance in L.A., it was a poor choice. India now is the world’s most populous nation with 1.4 billion people, and the fourth largest economy. Unlike Communist China, with its repressive policies, democratic India’s population is growing instead of shrinking. The World Bank estimates its economy, using the Purchasing Power Parity measure, is now the third largest at $11.9 trillion; after only China’s $30.3 trillion and America’s $25.5 trillion.This should have been a job for a top-level professional diplomat who speaks Hindi and knows the culture and politics.
Conclusion: Making Angelenos More Miserable
I traveled with my family from Detroit to Los Angeles on vacation in 1964. I still watch our old family movies and can see the heavy smoke over the City of the Angels. But Detroit was like that then, too.Since then, these and other cities in America and the most developed nations have reduced smog sharply. That’s sensible. But it’s about all that really can be done. Just make life better for the people who live where you are. Fixing “climate change” is a chimera.
India, China, and other still-developing countries are not going to stifle their economic development to make American environmentalists and presidential candidates feel good.
Mr. Mejia’s critique of the L.A. Green New Deal didn’t go far enough. Instead of recommending improvements, it should have called for canceling the whole absurd project.