On June 16, Putin noted that NATO countries supply Ukraine with heavy weaponry, such as U.S., British, and German tanks. He implicitly threatened NATO by musing, in this context, about Russia’s right to use nuclear weapons when the existence of the Russian state is threatened. Putin noted that Russia has more nuclear weapons than NATO countries and that there is a “serious danger” of NATO supplying additional heavy weaponry to Ukraine, such as fighter jets, and then being drawn into direct conflict with Russia.
Putin went further than mere threats, claiming he had already moved nuclear weapons closer to NATO countries.
Putin said that Russia’s use of nuclear weapons is “possible if there is a threat to our territorial integrity, independence, and sovereignty, to the existence of the Russian state.”
He said NATO countries know that Russia has more nuclear weapons than they do, “and they keep telling us to start negotiations on reductions. Well, you know what? They can shove it.”
This choice of language and failure to lower the nuclear temperature shows remarkable irresponsibility given the human lives at stake.
Putin singled out plans by some NATO countries to send U.S. fighter jets to Ukraine. The Biden administration has finally green-lighted that request. Other countries called for fast-tracking Ukraine’s NATO application, which Biden is resisting, in another show of U.S. restraint.
Loose talk of nuclear weapons by Putin and his state media normalizes this most destructive weaponry. In the context of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the unconscionable threat of their use by a dictator against a neighboring democracy, such brinkmanship amounts to nuclear terrorism.
Putin desperately wants NATO to stop its expansion, for example, by rejecting Ukraine and Georgia as members. His nuclear threats and invasion of both countries make it more difficult to admit them, since admission requires a lack of territorial disputes by the applicant.
However, Putin is shooting himself in the foot. His aggression also increases the incentives for Ukraine, Georgia, and many other countries, including in Asia, to join NATO and strengthen the organization.
Kluth said that the movement of Russian nuclear weapons so close to NATO borders in Belarus is a form of “psychological terrorism.”
“In the 1980s, NATO stationed US missiles in West Germany, not to escalate, but to get Moscow to stop doing so,” Kluth wrote. “If Putin now places nukes in Belarus, America should move some of its warheads to the eastern NATO countries that feel most threatened—that is, Poland and the Baltic states.”
Putin’s nuclear threats against the West are not the only egregious wrongs of Russia recently.
They follow the “salami-slicing” playbook of incrementalism, used successfully by the Chinese Communist Party, for example, in mainland China, Tibet, Xinjiang, and the South China Sea, since the 1930s.
Russia’s actions in Ukraine, Georgia, and elsewhere are unconscionable forms of aggression under a veil of propaganda about Moscow’s defense in the face of NATO’s peaceful expansion. Putin and his supporters must be held to account as terrorists and international war criminals. Anything less fails to impose accountability for some of the most heinous of criminal acts, thus incentivizing their further commission.