How will the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) handle emboldened enemies surrounding it?
For Israel, in many ways, it’s the best of times.Israel has never been as technologically and militarily advanced or as economically powerful as it is today. The level of development it has reached in the past couple of decades is impressive by any measure.
Its warfare capabilities are world class—it’s a leader in state-of-the-art military weaponry, guidance systems, cyber warfare, artificial intelligence, and other technologies. The Israeli Air Force is unrivaled in the region, and its intelligence agencies are also among the best in the world.
The Beginning of the Worst of Times?
And yet, this tiny nation the size of New Jersey finds itself facing perhaps its greatest threat since its founding.That reality isn’t lost on the IDF. Just as Israel’s power has increased, so too, has the power, number, and determination of its enemies.
It may soon become the worst of times.
The Religious Threat of Islamism
The fiercest threat to Israel (but by no means the only one) is ideological in nature and comes from the Islamic Republic of Iran. Iran’s stated policy is the total elimination of Israel, and Iran’s leadership is acting accordingly. Its elite Quds Force in Lebanon and Syria are a constant and growing threat to Israel.Tehran also funds, arms, and controls several proxy armies. These terror armies are active in Syria and Lebanon, but they’re also in Israel itself, in the south in Gaza and Judea, and in Samaria, as well as in Yemen and Iraq. All are equipped with rockets and large numbers of heavily armed soldiers.
Turkey’s Shift to Radical Islam
But Israel’s list of enemies extends beyond its immediate neighbors and Iran. Turkey is looking like it may join the anti-Israel parade. In a recent conversation with Iran’s Ebrahim Raisi, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said that “the Islamic world should be united against Israel’s attack in Palestine.” Erdogan also declared that “trampling on the Al-Aqsa Mosque is our red line.”Israelis’ praying on the Temple Mount may not be Turkey’s only “red line” with Israel. Turkey has its eyes on the vast wealth of oil and natural gas in the eastern Mediterranean Sea that Israel controls and sells to Europe.
Economic Threat: Israel’s Rising Energy Market a Threat to Russia
But Israel’s potential enemies go beyond Iran to the east, Turkey to the west, Gaza in the south, and Syria and Lebanon on its northern border. Due to Israel’s abundant energy reserves, which it’s already selling to Europe, Israel will soon pose a direct threat to Russia’s economy, since exporting natural gas to Europe is one of Russia’s main sources of revenue.Israel’s Internal Division Invites Attacks
These religious and economic motivations that are raising the risk of war are made even more pressing by the state of Israel’s deep political and social divisions. Massive public demonstrations—whether justified or not—against the Netanyahu government’s judicial policies, have prevented the cohesive exercise of power and fomented civil instability in the country.This intense, internal division projects a sense of weakness and vulnerability to Israel’s enemies, which may in part be considered an invitation to the attacks Israel is experiencing right now. Certainly, there are other factors involved.
One thing is clear, though. The attacks on Israel could quickly get a lot worse.