Former Australian Prime Minister Paul Keating has launched another extraordinary spray at the federal government’s foreign policies.
In an apparently unsolicited written statement, Mr. Keating lambasted the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) and its Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg while supporting President Emmanuel Macron’s opposition to the organisation expanding into Asia.
Condemning the “militarism of Europe,” Mr. Keating stated that “exporting that malicious poison to Asia would be akin to Asia welcoming the plague upon itself.”
“Of all the people on the international stage, the supreme fool among them is Jens Stoltenberg, the current Secretary-General of NATO,” added Keating. “Stoltenberg, by instinct and by policy, is simply an accident on its way to happen.”
His crime, in the eyes of Mr. Keating, is to draw parallels between Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and China’s behaviour in Asia.
Coinciding with the visit by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese to Europe for a meeting of NATO in Lithuania, Mr. Keating’s statement was a direct criticism of NATO and the foreign policies of the Australian government.
This is not the first outburst by Mr. Keating about relations with China. It is no wonder that the CCP mouthpiece, the Global Times, praised Mr. Keating.
Last year, he proposed that Australia ditch its involvement in the QUAD and AUKUS arrangements.
Mr. Keating has said he nurses a grievance towards the United States, which he also attacked again in his recent statement, saying the U.S. had not been “grateful” enough for Australia’s contributions to global affairs, including the creation of the Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation Group (APEC), he claimed last year.
“This [APEC] came out of the Australian foreign policy—this is my personal gift to the United States. They will give you no thanks and gratitude,” Mr. Keating said.
Doesn’t Fundamentally Understand the Threat of the CCP
Mr. Keating has a misguided view of the Chinese communist regime.“The Chinese are not trying to overturn the existing system. Let’s get this clear: China is not the old Soviet Union. It’s not exporting ideology,” he said.
“The West ignores Xi’s ideological messaging at its own peril. No matter how abstract and unfamiliar his ideas might be, they are having profound effects on the real-world content of Chinese politics and foreign policy—and thus, as China’s rise continues, on the rest of the world,” Mr. Rudd wrote in an essay published last year.
“Xi’s ideological beliefs have committed China to the goal of building what Xi describes as a ‘fairer and more just’ international system—one anchored in Chinese power rather than American power and one that reflects norms more consistent with Marxist-Leninist values.”
It would appear that Mr. Keating is blind to what Mr. Rudd describes as “the truth about China that is hiding in plain sight.”
Paul Keating was a member of parliament and prime minister of Australia until 1996. Much of his 27 years in political life coincided with the reign of Deng Xiaoping and his successors, such as Jiang Zemin, as leaders of the Chinese Communist Party.
It was also during this period that Deng opened up the Chinese economy, which benefitted Australia.
Disaster Scenario
Mr. Keating would have China dominate the Indo-Pacific.“The U.S. could run the world co-operatively with China. In other words, the U.S. consolidates the Atlantic, which includes bringing Russia into Europe, and in the east, the stability is provided by the Chinese,” he said.
According to Keating, the world will also consent to a Chinese take-over of Taiwan.
“Taiwan, I repeat, is not of vital Australian interest,” he said last year. “If I’ve got any advice for them (the US) it’s to stick to strategic ambiguity like glue.”
However, the idea that Taiwan is not vital to Australia is misguided. A successful Chinese invasion of Taiwan would have one of two economic consequences; either the destruction of the island’s semi-conductor production; or the domination of the industry, if it survived invasion, by China.
Either way, Australia—along with most of the world—would face disastrous economic consequences running to hundreds of billions of dollars a year.
Mr. Keating envisages a benevolent Chinese Communist Party (CCP) ruling the Indo-Pacific. He is particularly sensitive to any challenge to this utopian dream, including NATO setting up an office in Japan.
Sensibly the Australian government has ignored his advice. Mr. Albanese encouraged the Germans, for example, to have a greater naval presence in the Pacific.
Contrary to Mr. Keating’s naivety, an emboldened CCP would not stop at Taiwan. China’s so-called first island line—its projected primary line of defence—extends to South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines.
It is already seeking to extend its influence throughout the Indo-Pacific, including to islands on our doorstep.
Under Keating’s scenario, the Indo-Pacific would become a vassal for Xi’s regime. A resource-rich Australia would be at the mercy of the CCP if Mr. Keating’s scenario ever became a reality.
