A substantial amount of data indicates that Hong Kong has become a crucial link in the supply chain for high-tech products, including semiconductors, supplied by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to Russia.
A China analyst indicated that the CCP has tied Hong Kong and mainland China together, and Hong Kong no longer plays the role of an intermediary. The recent visit to China by U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken could lay down a final ultimatum: if the CCP continues to support Russia, another U.S.-China trade war will start with more severe sanctions. At that point, U.S. sanctions against the CCP will encompass Hong Kong.
“China is the top supplier of machine tools, microelectronics, nitrocellulose, which is critical to making munitions and rocket propellants, and other dual-use items that Moscow is using to ramp up its defence industrial base,” he said.
According to data by the Indian research company Export Genius, records of Russia’s semiconductor imports show that between Feb. 24 and Dec. 31, 2022, out of 3,292 transactions worth at least $100,000 each, around 70 percent involved products manufactured by American chip makers, totaling approximately $740 million.
Among these transactions, 1,774 (about 75 percent) were shipped from Hong Kong or mainland China. Many of the companies were small and medium-sized, some of which were newly established after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The total value of these transactions reached $570 million, representing a tenfold increase in U.S. chip exports to Russia from Hong Kong and mainland China compared to before the Russia-Ukraine war.
Based on data provided by Silverado Policy Accelerator, a Washington NGO, from March to December 2022, China and Hong Kong accounted for nearly 90 percent of the chips exported to Russia by transaction value.
According to Russian customs data from C4ADS, an investigative nonprofit organization, shipments of high-end chips to Russia surged in the first half of 2023, many of which moved through Hong Kong.
From January to May 2023, over 200 Russian enterprises received 17,000 TI chips worth $25 million from the U.S. semiconductor company Texas Instruments Inc. (TI), with the two largest recipients being NPP Itelma and VMK. The chips received by these companies were processed by two Hong Kong companies, which were sanctioned by the United States in October 2023 for supplying military-related companies in Russia.
New Companies With ‘Russia’ in Names Surge
After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the number of newly registered companies with “Russia” in their names surged in Hong Kong.Liber Research Community, a local organization that specializes in studying Hong Kong’s development, examined the list of newly registered companies and those that had changed their names at the Companies Registry.
In addition, although companies involved in the liquor industry accounted for the highest proportion in the list, some companies involved in relatively sensitive industries were also found, including agriculture, chemicals, energy, and finance, with a considerable proportion.
In October 2022, Sherman Yan, managing partner of the Hong Kong law firm ONC Lawyers, told Bloomberg that some large Russian companies, including state-owned enterprises, are seeking cooperation with Hong Kong law firms to help Russia enter Hong Kong. They hope this will be a “friendlier jurisdiction” than New York and London, among others.
Expert: US Sanctions Will Include Hong Kong
Since the anti-extradition movement in 2019, the CCP’s tightening control over Hong Kong has become increasingly severe, and the degree of autonomy promised under the Basic Law for Hong Kong’s “one country, two systems” is disappearing. Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, under the authorization of the CCP, the Hong Kong authorities have openly disregarded Western sanctions and deliberately relaxed export controls.The 166-page revision includes restrictions on semiconductor exports to China and restrictions on notebook computers containing these chips. There are indications that these restrictions may escalate to include low-end mature chip industries.
Shi Shan, a columnist and senior editor of the Chinese edition of The Epoch Times, believes that the CCP has tied Hong Kong and mainland China together, and Hong Kong no longer plays the role of an intermediary.
This visit by Mr. Blinken to China should be the final negotiation. If the CCP continues to support Russia, the United States will initiate further severe sanctions, he said.
Mr. Shi believes the United States is gradually tightening the CCP’s access to high-tech products, and a U.S.-China trade war is imminent. Therefore, future U.S. trade sanctions against the CCP and Russia, especially severe sanctions in the high-tech field, will certainly include Hong Kong.
“Hong Kong, once super-connector, is highly likely to be implicated and will suffer even greater damage in the future,” he said.