The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) wants to become a major space power by 2030, and a global leader in space equipment and technology by 2045.
It seems the regime is well on its way to achieving this goal, which could give it significant leverage in business, politics, and military power.
It says, “U.S. policymakers should not expect China’s space program to remain significantly behind the United States’ indefinitely,” especially as its programs serve both military and civilian purposes, with the deeper goal of “leapfrogging the United States.”
Included in the CCP’s space programs are an alternative to GPS, a new Chinese international space station, dreams of a lunar base, and other goals. For the CCP, the uses of these go beyond science and exploration.
When U.S. government funding for the International Space Station (ISS) ends in 2024, the report notes, China “may be the only country to have an active space station.” That would give the CCP an upper hand in diplomacy, since while it says UN member countries may be able to use it, this access could be determined by political stance.
In the same light, the CCP’s replacement for GPS has significant importance for military power. The U.S. GPS system is used not just for civilian products such as smartphones and apps, but also for military navigation and weapons targeting. If a war broke out between major countries, or if a rogue state was using this technology to commit atrocities, the United States could deny it access to GPS—shutting it off from key military capabilities.
The CCP, on the other hand, has a permissive stance on government tyranny. Part of the “China model” is a “do as thou wilt” stance that keeps the CCP supporting rogue regimes such as Iran and North Korea, regardless of sanctions.
For the CCP, this means both military strength and diplomatic power. And according to the report, this is a key trait of the regime’s space goals:
“Compared to the U.S. space program, China’s program is also more connected to the ‘levers of power,’ meaning its goals more often draw support from top leaders and are interconnected with the overall priorities of China’s industrial and foreign policies.”
Among these key “levers of power” is the CCP military, which the report says “plays an important role in organizing and overseeing China’s space activities, meaning most of China’s ostensibly civilian space activities have dual-use applications.”
When it comes to media coverage and public statements about actions in space, the CCP tries to maintain a peaceful veneer, but its actions say otherwise.
Yet, behind the scenes, the CCP has been testing anti-satellite weapons since at least 2005. Its use of a missile to destroy its Feng Yun 1-C weather satellite in 2007, sending more than 3,000 pieces of debris into low-earth orbit, is what got the CCP barred from working with NASA.
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And as the new report notes, one of the key CCP agencies in charge of its space programs, the China Aerospace Science and Industry Corp., also “plans and oversees China’s direct-ascent anti-satellite weapons programs.”