Cory Morgan: Canada Could Win on Multiple Fronts by Going All In on LNG Exports

Cory Morgan: Canada Could Win on Multiple Fronts by Going All In on LNG Exports
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau meets with Prime Minister of Japan Kishida Fumio on Parliament Hill in Ottawa on Jan. 12, 2023. The Canadian Press/Sean Kilpatrick
Cory Morgan
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Commentary

Twice in the last year, international leaders have approached Canada cap-in-hand, seeking to purchase Liquified Natural Gas (LNG).

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz met with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau last August, and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida visited Ottawa on Jan. 12. Both leaders left Canada frustrated, as Trudeau offered sympathy for their plight in being dependent upon Russian natural gas but made no commitments to supply gas to their nations. When asked about supplying LNG to those countries, Trudeau sidestepped the questions and spoke about exporting hydrogen and batteries.

The federal government is ideologically fixated on turning Canada into a net-zero emissions country. This near obsession with reducing emissions has blinded them to economic realities both domestically and abroad. Being blessed with an abundance of natural gas deposits and coastal access on both sides of the country, Canada could become a world energy power to be reckoned with if only the government could find the will to allow it.

The Liberal government has taken a strong stance against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. To that end, Canada has committed to spending $3.4 billion in assistance to Ukraine. Much of that assistance is in the form of military hardware and training. While Ukraine surely appreciates that support, is that really the most effective way Canada could contribute to ending the conflict? Military support often leads to more military actions.

A large part of why nations opposed to the Russian action in Ukraine have been unable to effectively influence or dissuade Russia is they are dependent on Russian supplies of natural gas. Nations can condemn Putin’s actions, but they also always have to bear in mind if they push it too far, they may find themselves cut off from gas supplies.

If the Trudeau government really wanted to throw a wrench into Vladimir Putin’s agenda, they would be offering LNG supplies to European and Asian nations while fast-tracking the construction of LNG export terminals. Wars are expensive and Putin is already facing pressure within his own country over the resources being expended on the conflict in Ukraine. If Russia starts losing some of its customer base for energy exports, you can rest assured it would get Putin’s attention more effectively than military aid directed at Ukraine has.

While Canada doesn’t have gas reserves as vast as Russia’s, we are the fourth largest producer of natural gas on earth. Canada has the production infrastructure, the skilled workforce, and the resources. We just need to get on with building the export capability and that means the federal government has to stop hindering development.
There have been 18 sizeable, proposed LNG export projects in Canada. Thirteen on the West Coast, two in Quebec, and two in Nova Scotia. Only one of those projects is under construction. It is in Kitimat, B.C., and it has been constantly delayed by regulatory hurdles and protests hindering construction on the pipeline to supply it. None of the projects on the East Coast have gotten off the ground for lack of pipelines, and Quebec’s government shut down LNG operations there with the federal government’s blessing. Every other project is in development purgatory as investors have fled Canada’s regulatory environment.

The business case exists for LNG exports from Canada and investors would happily fund the required infrastructure if they felt confident the federal government would quit hindering it. Right now though, with so many pipeline cancellations and roadblocks put in place against petrochemical development in Canada, it just isn’t a safe place to invest in.

LNG infrastructure can be built very quickly when a government facilitates it. Germany built an LNG terminal in less than a year and has five more on the way. They are already receiving LNG shipments from the USA and Qatar. That could have been Canadian gas going out there.

The government doesn’t want to appear to be backtracking on emissions reduction targets and thus drags its feet when it comes to energy exports.

Perhaps the Russian situation could lend Ottawa a sense of pragmatism along with a way to save face while supporting LNG exports. The Liberals could make the case that there are exceptional circumstances and a humanitarian need for developing LNG export capability.

Canada can win on multiple fronts by getting seriously into the LNG export game. We can develop ethically produced resources while creating thousands of well-paying jobs and bringing in much-needed tax revenue. The exports will ease the energy crisis overseas and allow some countries to reduce or eliminate burning coal for energy along with reducing dependence upon Russia for energy sources.

It could be win, win, win. If only the government could take off its ideological blinders long enough to realize it.

Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.