Controlling the Flow of Information
Like all dictatorships, controlling the narrative is a big part of how the CCP stays in power. Because the internet and social media are both heavily censored by Beijing, any accurate reports on the nature of the protests will have minimal impact before they are quickly taken down. What’s more, those who post news or opinion that’s contrary to the official interpretation of the Hong Kong protests risk serious consequences, including arrest and imprisonment.A Disinformation Campaign
To that end, China’s official social media have repeatedly put out disinformation about the protests. The CCP is attributing widespread violence to the mainly peaceful protesters, not to the police or their Triad thug proxies, where it belongs. The rest of the world sees this reality, but for China, the important audience is the people over which they rule.But of course, the protesters aren’t monolithic in their complaints, tactics or objectives. The protests were originally against the extradition bill allowing suspected criminals in Hong Kong to be taken to Beijing for trial or punishment, or both. Some protesters have gone further, asking for a review of police brutality, others seek a return to the “one country, two systems” arrangement, while still others demand full democracy for Hong Kong.
According to Fang Kecheng, a communications professor at Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK):
“The [protest] movement is so complicated, unpredictable and unprecedented, with a very diverse group of participants, but what we see within the Great Firewall of China is actually simplified and distorted.”
Anti-West Nationalism
Of course, anti-West, anti-American propaganda has been a common theme in China’s state media for decades. China’s state-run propaganda blames the Hong Kong protests on “Western influences.”CCP Running Out of Patience
But even if the CCP is successful in its campaign to blame the protests on the “black hand” of the United States and the CIA, it may have pushed Xi Jinping into a political corner. Since the state media is publicly blaming the United States for the protests, how long can the CCP delay quelling the “foreign-led” rebellion before they begin to lose face with the people? How will they explain their hesitation without looking weak?Given that the 70th anniversary of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) is coming up on October 1, how will Xi and the CCP look to the country if, in the midst of celebrating the glorious revolution, the Hong Kong protests are still going on?
Perceptions are very important to political leaders, especially in times of crisis. A reasonable observer might expect Xi and the CCP to act on Hong Kong sometime in early September, if not before.