A good example is Los Angeles’ race for mayor to replace Eric Garcetti. During his last two years in office crime has soared, along with a related rise in homelessness. In 2021, homicides rose by 12 percent, to 397, the highest since 2006. Garcetti is awaiting Senate confirmation as ambassador to India at a time of international tension—when a real diplomat should have been appointed.
All of the major mayoral candidates, including the liberals, are pushing a crime-busting agenda, albeit with different platforms. All are Democrats.
Although officially a non-partisan office, party affiliation still plays a role. The last Republican was Richard Riordan, who left office in 2001.
A major poll was from U.C. Berkeley on Feb. 3-10. Rep. Karen Bass held a commanding lead at 32 percent.
She was followed by Councilman Kevin de Leon and billionaire developer Rick Caruso at 8 percent each. Following were Los Angeles City Attorney Mike Feuer and former LAPD officer and Councilman Joe Buscaino at 4 percent each.
However, a more recent poll from Loyola Marymount University released on March 2 pegged Bass at 16 percent, de León at 12 percent, and Buscaino at 8 percent. Feuer was at 7 percent and Caruso 6 percent.
Karen Bass
“People around the city do not feel safe,” she said. “There is a feeling of fear in the city. It’s very reminiscent to me of where the city was in the ’80s and the ’90s.”She added, “It has just exploded into what I feel is a public health and a public safety emergency.” She says she’s working with the Biden administration to get more funding for police.
The Floyd Act’s problems won’t hurt her in the primary. But in the Top Two runoff in November, it could come back to haunt her.
Clearly the Democratic Party Establishment’s candidate, she has been endorsed by numerous unions, including the powerful California Nurses Association, Communication Workers of America Southern California Council, SEIU United Healthcare Workers West, and SEIU United Healthcare Workers West.
Kevin de León
He was the president pro tem of the California Senate for most of the time I was press secretary to Sen. John Moorlach (R-Costa Mesa). De León was capable at running the Senate and getting the Democratic agenda passed. That meant maneuvering with and around the numerous Democratic interest groups: unions, billionaires, construction companies, environmentalists, etc. He also was reasonable with the minority Republicans, albeit not letting them advance many bills.De León in 2018 ran against Sen. Dianne Feinstein. Because of California’s awful Top Two system, both advanced to the November runoffs, as no Republicans made the cut. That year the California Democratic Party endorsed him at their convention. Even though she outspent him $20 million to $2 million, she won only with a tepid 54 percent to his 46 percent.
Rick Caruso
The billionaire real estate developer hopes to be the latest wealthy person to advance in California politics, following L.A. Mayor Richard Riordan and Gov. Arnold Schwarznegger. But he doesn’t want to end up like billionaire Meg Whitman, who blew $144 million of her own dough in her losing 2010 campaign for governor against Jerry Brown.Caruso was a Republican until 2011, then an independent until 2022. This year he became a Democrat, saying, “I won’t be a typical Democrat, that’s for sure. I will be a pro-centrist, pro-jobs, pro-public safety Democrat.” That is, he’ll be a Republican-type Democrat. Even though the post officially is non-partisan.
Joe Buscaino
As a former cop, he’s running on themes similar to Caruso’s of fighting crime. The Times compared him to New York Mayor Eric Adams, who campaigned on both cracking down on crime and reforming the police.After the George Floyd riots in 2020 and the national “defund the police” movement, in a 12-2 vote Buscaino was one of two city councilmen who opposed cutting the LAPD’s budget by $150 million. He branded it “a reactive, feel-good budget cut.” Last November, he called for increasing the number of LAPD officers from the current 9,700 to 11,000 by 2027, without increasing spending.
Mike Feuer
He’s Los Angeles’ city attorney and a former Democratic assemblyman. His TV ad features a voice over by actor Jason Alexander. It touts Feuer’s liberal record of gun control measures, especially background checks; environmentalism; consumer protection, such as a $200 million judgment against Wells Fargo; and working with Vice President Kamala Harris when she was state attorney general on the Homeowner’s Bill of Rights.Conclusion
My guess is Bass’ strong union support will provide frontrunner status. Caruso’s ads will enjoy higher name recognition. Then the media will turn it into a two-candidate race before the primary, pushing them both onto the November ballot.Even with the crime issue, a lot of money and his new Democratic Party Card, Caruso will be hard put to beat the powerful unions that still control politics almost everywhere in California.
A wild card could be if a recession digs in before November, allowing Caruso to emphasize his business background.