Commentary
We’re assured by the
World Health Organization (WHO), the
World Bank,
the G-20, and
their friends that pandemics pose an existential threat to our survival and well-being. Pandemics are becoming more common, and if we don’t move urgently, we'll have ourselves to blame for more mass death in the “next pandemic.”
The proof of this is the catastrophic harm done to the world by COVID-19, a repeat of which can only be prevented by transferring unprecedented funds and decision-making power to the care of public health institutions and their corporate partners. They have the resources, experience, knowledge, and technical know-how to keep us safe.
This is a no-brainer, all of it, and only a fool who desires mass death would oppose it. But there are still people who claim that the
link between the public health establishment and large corporations appears to be the only part of this narrative that withstands scrutiny.
If true, this would imply that we are being systematically deceived by our leaders, the health establishment, and most of our media; a ludicrous allegation in a free and democratic society. Only a fascist or otherwise totalitarian regime could run such a broad and inclusive deception, and only people with truly bad intent could nurture it.
So let’s hope such “appearances” are deceptive. To believe that the premise behind our leaders’ Pandemic Preparedness and Response agenda is knowingly based on a set of complete fabrications would be a conspiracy theory too far. It would be too uncomfortable to accept that we’re being deliberately misled by people we elected and the health establishment we trust; that the assurances of inclusivity, equity, and tolerance are mere façades hiding fascists. We should examine the key claims supporting the pandemic agenda carefully and hope to find them credible.
Myth No. 1: Pandemics Are Becoming More Common
In its 2019 pandemic influenza guidelines, the WHO listed
three pandemics in the century between the 1918–20 Spanish flu and COVID-19. The Spanish flu killed mainly through secondary
bacterial infections at a time before modern antibiotics. Today, we would expect most of these people, many relatively young and fit, to survive.
The WHO subsequently recorded pandemic flu outbreaks in 1957–58 (“Asian flu”) and 1968–69 (“Hong Kong flu”). The Swine flu outbreak that occurred in 2009 was classified by the WHO as a “pandemic” but caused just 125,000 to 250,000 deaths. This is far less than a normal flu year and so hardly deserving of the pandemic label. Then we had COVID-19. That’s it for a whole century; one outbreak the WHO classifies as a pandemic per generation. Rare, or at least highly unusual, events.
Myth No. 2: Pandemics Are a Major Cause of Death
The Black Death, the Bubonic Plague that
swept Europe in the 1300s, killed perhaps a third of the entire population. Repeat outbreaks over the following centuries caused similar harm, as had plagues known from
Greek and Roman times. Even the Spanish flu didn’t compare with these. Life changed prior to antibiotics—including nutrition, accommodation, ventilation, and sanitation—and these mass-mortality events subsided.
Since the Spanish flu, we’ve developed an array of antibiotics that remain extremely effective against community-acquired pneumonia. Fit young people still die from influenza through secondary bacterial infection, but this is rare.
The
WHO tells us there were 1.1 million deaths from the 1957–58 “Asian flu” and a million from the 1968–69 “Hong Kong flu.” In context, seasonal influenza kills between
250,000 and
650,000 people every year. As the global population was 3 to 3.5 billion when these two pandemics occurred, they classify as bad flu years killing about 1 in 700 mostly elderly people, with little influence on total deaths. They were treated as such, with the Woodstock Festival proceeding without super-spreader panic (regarding the virus, at least).
COVID-19 has a higher associated mortality but at an
old average age equivalent to that of all-cause mortality and is nearly always
associated with
comorbidities. Much mortality also occurred in the presence of the withdrawal of normal supportive care such as close nursing and physiotherapy, and
intubation practices may have played a role.
Of the 6.5 million whom the
WHO records as dying from COVID-19, we don’t know how many would’ve died anyway from cancer, heart disease, or the complications of diabetes mellitus, and just happened to have a positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR result. We don’t know because most authorities decided not to check but recorded such deaths as being due to COVID-19. The WHO records about 15 million excess deaths throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, but this includes lockdown deaths (
malnutrition,
rising infectious disease,
neonatal death, etc.).
If we take the
6.5 million toll as likely, we can understand its context by comparing it with tuberculosis (TB), a globally endemic respiratory disease that few worry about in their day-to-day lives. TB kills about 1.5 million people every year, which is almost half the annual COVID-19 toll in 2020 and 2021. TB kills
far younger on average than COVID, removing more potential life-years with each death.
So based on normal metrics for disease burden, we could say they are roughly equivalent—COVID-19 has had an impact on life expectancy overall fairly similar to TB—worse in older populations in Western countries, far less in
low-income countries. Even in
the United States, COVID-19 was associated with less (and older) deaths in 2020–21 than normally occur from cancer and cardiovascular disease.
COVID-19 hasn’t therefore been an existential threat to the life of many people. The infection mortality rate globally is probably around
0.15 percent, higher in the elderly and much lower in healthy young adults and children. It isn’t unreasonable to think that if standard medical knowledge had been followed, such as physiotherapy and mobility for frail elderly people and
micronutrient supplementation for those at risk, the mortality rate may have been even lower.
Whatever one’s views on COVID-19 death definitions and management, it’s unavoidable that death is rare in healthy younger people. Over the past century, all pandemic deaths have been very low. Averaging less than 100,000 people per year inclusive of COVID-19, they’re a small fraction of that caused by seasonal flu.
Myth No. 3: Diversion of Resources to Pandemic Preparedness Makes Public Health Sense
The G-20 has agreed with the World Bank to allocate
$10.5 billion annually to its pandemic prevention and response Financial Intermediary Fund. There is, in their view, about
$50 billion needed in total per year. This is the annual holding budget for pandemic preparedness. As an example of their preferred response when an outbreak occurs, Yale University modelers estimate that to vaccinate people in low- and middle-income countries with just two doses of COVID-19 vaccine would cost about
$35 billion. Adding one booster would total
$61 billion. More than
$7 billion has thus far been committed to
COVAX, the WHO’s COVID vaccine financing facility, vaccinating most who are
already immune to the virus.
To put these sums in context, the annual budget of the WHO is normally below
$4 billion. The entire world spends about
$3 billion annually on malaria—a disease that kills well over half a million young children each year. The largest financing facility for TB, HIV/AIDS, and malaria, the
Global Fund, spends less than $4 billion per year on these three diseases combined. Other and larger preventable killers of children, such as
pneumonia and diarrhea, receive still less attention.
Malaria, HIV, TB, and diseases of malnutrition are all increasing, while economies globally—the main long-term determinant of life expectancy in lower-income countries—decline. Taxpayers are being asked, by institutions that themselves will benefit, to spend vast resources on this problem rather than on diseases that kill more and younger people. The people pushing this agenda don’t appear to be dedicated to reducing annual mortality or improving overall health. Alternatively, they either can’t manage data or have a window on the future that they are keeping to themselves.
Myth No. 4: COVID-19 Caused Massive Harm to Health and the Global Economy
The age-skewing of COVID mortality has been unmistakable since early 2020, when data from China demonstrated almost no mortality in healthy young to middle-aged adults and children. This hasn’t changed. Those contributing to economic activity, working in factories, farms, and transport were never at great risk.The economic and personal harm arising from the restrictions on these people, unemployment, destruction of small businesses, and supply-line disruption, was a choice made against
orthodox policy of the WHO and public health in general. The prolonged school closures, locking in generational poverty and inequality on both a sub-national and international level, was a choice to perhaps buy months for the elderly.
The 2019 WHO
pandemic guidelines advised against lockdowns due to the inevitability that they would increase poverty, and poverty drives illness and reduces life expectancy. The WHO noted this disproportionately harms poorer people. This isn’t complicated—even those at the center of the lockdown and future digital ID agenda such as the
Bank of International Settlements (BIS) acknowledge this reality. If the aim of poverty-promoting measures had been to reduce elderly death, the evidence for success
is poor.
There seems little reasonable doubt that growing
malnutrition and
long-term poverty, rising
endemic infectious disease, and the impacts of
education loss, increased
child marriage, and increased
inequality will far outweigh any possible mortality reduction achieved. UNICEF’s
estimation of a quarter-million child deaths from lockdowns in South Asia in 2020 provides a window into the enormity of the harm lockdowns wrought. It was the novel public health response that caused the massive harm associated with this historically mild pandemic, not the virus.
Facing Truth
It seems unavoidable that those advocating for the current pandemic and preparedness agenda are intentionally misleading the public in order to achieve their aims. This explains why, in the background documents of the WHO, the World Bank, G-20, and others, detailed cost-benefit analyses are avoided. The same absence of this basic requirement characterized the introduction of COVID lockdowns.
Cost-benefit analyses are essential for any large-scale intervention, and their absence reflects either incompetence or malfeasance. Prior to 2019, the resource diversion being contemplated for pandemic preparedness would have been unthinkable without such analysis. We can therefore reasonably assume that their continued absence is based on fear or certainty that their outcomes would scupper the program.
A lot of people who should know better are going along with this deceit. Their motives can be
surmised elsewhere. Many may feel they need a good salary, and the resultant dead and impoverished will be far enough away to be considered abstract. The media, owned by the same
investment houses that own the Pharma and software companies sponsoring public health, are mostly silent. It’s hardly a conspiracy to believe that investment houses such as BlackRock and Vanguard work to maximize returns for their investors, using their various assets to do so.
A few decades of our elected leaders trooping off for closed-door sessions at Davos, together with a steady concentration of wealth with the individuals they were meeting, couldn’t really have landed us anywhere else.
We knew this 20 years ago, when the media still warned of the harm that increasing inequality would bring. When individuals and corporations richer than medium-sized countries control major international health organizations such as
Gavi and
CEPI, the real question is why so many people struggle to acknowledge that conflicts of interest define international health policy.
The subversion of health for profit runs contrary to the entire ethos of the post-World War Two anti-fascist, anti-colonialist movement. When people across politics can acknowledge this reality, they can put aside the false divisions that this corruption has sown.
We’re being deceived for a reason. Whatever that is, going along with a deception is a poor choice. Denial of truth never leads to a good place. When public health policy is based on a demonstrably false narrative, it’s the role of public health workers, and the public, to oppose it.
Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.