The number of households under ‘mortgage stress’ sharply fell to near record lows in mid-2021 despite the loss of JobKeeper, according to research by market search company Roy Morgan.
Households have been helped by consistent record low-interest rates, federal government financial assistance, and assistant schemes from financial institutions giving borrowers financial distress mortgage ‘holidays.’
“Many years of research into mortgage stress has shown that the biggest driver of increased mortgage stress is the reduction in income caused by the loss of a job which causes an immediate jump into a ‘risk’ category,” Levine said.
However, the latest lockdowns in Sydney, Melbourne, and Adelaide are causing renewed concerns as hundreds of thousands of workers have been forced to stop working.
“Over two-in-three mortgages rely on more than one income and our analysis shows losing even the lower of these two incomes causes an immediate four-fold increase in the likelihood of those mortgage holders becoming ‘At Risk’ or ‘Extremely at Risk,’” Levine said.
However, AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver disagrees with Roy Morgan’s findings.
A spokesman from Roy Morgan told The Epoch Times that the difference in findings is likely due to differing methodology as well as the specific wording of the questions in each respective survey.
The “At Risk” definition for Roy Morgan is when a household pays more than a certain proportion of their after-tax income into the home loan (25 percent to 45 percent), based on the appropriate Standard Variable Rate reported by the RBA and initial borrowed amount.
“I also note that Finder’s survey is based on the percentage of Australians who indicate they struggle to make their rent or home loan payments which is different to ours,” he said.