Malaysia’s central bank is expected to raise the interest rate by 25 basis points on Thursday, a Reuters poll showed, which will be the country’s third consecutive increase amid rising global inflation.
The survey’s findings, which involved 20 analysts, suggest a 25 basis point hike to 2.50 percent by the Malaysian Central Bank (BNM) on Wednesday, followed by another 25 basis point hike to 2.75 percent in November.
About 60 percent of the economists expected BNM’s overnight rate to reach 3.00 percent by the end of March, while the remaining predicted 2.75 percent.
Julia Goh, a senior economist at United Overseas Bank, said BNM would likely consider internal factors, as well as the projected outsized U.S. Federal Reserve rate hikes and global monetary conditions, at its upcoming meeting on Wednesday.
“Given a robust GDP growth print in 2Q22, signs of further economic expansion in 2H22 albeit at a moderate pace, and broadening second-round effects on inflation, Bank Negara Malaysia will likely follow-through with a third 25bps rate hike,” Goh said.
BNM Governor Tan Sri Nor Shamsiah Mohd Yunus said in August that any adjustment to monetary policy will be “gradual and controlled,” maintaining the bank’s accommodative stance to support the nation’s economic recovery.
The government projected a growth rate of between 5.3 percent and 6.3 percent in its economy this year, following a 6.9 percent growth rate in the first half of 2022, Deputy Finance Minister Mohd Shahar Abdullah said Tuesday.